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  1. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I think I will stop most posting activities because I have taken on more responsibilities. First, I have only been trading ES for less than 2 years so I am no expert... How are these numbers gonna help? There are 27 time buckets intraday for my studies. I assign reversals (2 pt plus...
  2. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-18-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 10:22 S T 1:42 S T 2:31 S 2:51 T Tally: #days = 11 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 3 1 1 9:45 2 0 0 10:00 7...
  3. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-17-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:32 9:49 10:17 10:30 S 10:46 S 11:10 T 12:50 1:19 S T 2:01 2:36 S Tally: #days = 10 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 3 1 1 9:45 2 0...
  4. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I have finished tallying the days that I missed since the beginning of the year. Looks like the distribution of reversals over the time buckets are NOT equal (not random). The morning seems to offer more opportunities for reversals. I am not sure if any time period offers better...
  5. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-10-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:54 10:38 S 11:07 T 12:18 12:50 1:25 S T 2:38 S T Tally: #days = 9 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 2 1 1 9:45 1 0 0 10:00...
  6. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-9-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 10:06 S T 10:32 11:05 S T 1:57 S T 2:45 S T Tally: #days = 8 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 2 1 1 9:45 1 0 0 10:00 6...
  7. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-6-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:33 S T 10:25 10:54 11:09 T 11:37 11:54 2:18 2:43 3:06 Tally: #days = 7 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 2 1 1 9:45 1 0 0...
  8. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-5-2006 reversal (2 pt) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:40 9:58 10:08 S T 10:43 S 12:03 12:45 S 1:10 2:45 S T Tally: #days = 6 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 1 0 0 9:45 1 0 0...
  9. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    These are good studies. I remember a similar study by John Bollinger based on time of day and day of the week... and he too mentioned the "noon balloon." I guess the high/low studies will be of interested to the open range breakout traders. My studies are in the same spirit but a little...
  10. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-4-2006 reversal (2 pts) review : S for setup; T for trend 10:18 10:24 S 10:43 10:58 11:14 S 12:01 S T 1:35 1:49 2:15 S T Tally: #days = 5 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 1 0 0 10:00 4 2...
  11. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I am going back to the beginning of the year for more data points. 1-3-2006 reversal (2 pts) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:54 10:02 T 10:39 S T 12:10 S 12:33 1:36 T 2:21 2:23 3:34 3:54 Tally: #days = 4 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 1...
  12. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I wouldn't be trading if I am smart... so am I safe?? :D
  13. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I remember listening online to the NYMEX lunch speech by Paul Tudor Jones... http://www.clicklive.com/NYMEX/symposium_2003/jones.htm He said if you don't know what your edge is, you are gonna lose ALL YOUR MONEY. That single statement could have saved me a lot of $$$. I am not so sure...
  14. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    According to the Chinese Lunar Calendar, today is the full moon... not yesterday but I am sure lunar cycles has some significance... actually there is totally reversed esoteric relationship (according to Buddhist tantra) that might be improper for me to comment. Lunar Cycles, time of day...
  15. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-13-2006 reversal (2 pts) review : S for setup; T for trend 9:30 9:55 S 10:46 S 11:32 T 12:50 S 1:30 2:15 S T 2:54 S 3:22 Tally: #days = 3 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 9:30 1 0 0 10:00 2 2...
  16. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    Hi Mark, I am not sure I am reading this correctly. Is there any difference in trading the days with economic reports and the days that don't? Thanks.
  17. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I bucketed the last 2 reversals into the same 3:45 zone. I just try to put things into the closest bucket... There was a 10 am reversal which yielded 1 pt profit but I will only record reversals that yielded 2 pt profit after the bid-ask spreads.
  18. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    1-12-2006 reversal (2 pts) review : S for setup; T for trend 10:35 S 10:58 11:30 11:51 S T 3:39 3:46 S Tally: #days = 2 Time #Reversals #Setups #Trends 10:00 1 1 0 10:30 2 1 0 11:00 2...
  19. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    I just want to put out a warning that the time of day bias does not "have to" happen. I think I would probably lose money if I try to anticipate them. I would rather trade what I see and not what I think during the hotzones.
  20. M

    Time of Day Bias for ES

    Traditionally they explained that there are 2 reversal times after the emotional opening. First one at around 10 am or 9:00 CT after the retail buying/selling chased after the price inflated/deflated by the market makers (pump the futures and force people to buy the stocks). The second one is...
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