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But if you don't make those exceptions systematic, for every time you don't lose money, there will probably be an equal number of times you don't make money. Or, more likely the percentage of time you don't make money will be about the same as your overall winning percentage. I'm all for...

To be able to teach someone my method, they'd have to want to learn. It could be done, though.

Splitting the country wouldn't solve every difference, no, because you'd still have people further from the ideological center existing within each of the two countries alongside people who identified with that ideology, but less intensely. So, a hard-core Communist would have to convince...

I don't know how anyone else trades, really, but I know that I have zero intuition. I have a bunch of rules and when they trigger a trade, I take it. And you can't just look at one set-up and say "Oh, because 20 different traders would trade that one set-up 20 different ways, that means TA...

It would be at one price because any edge sufficiently defined to be lasting would be precise enough to identify the ideal single price at which to buy or sell. Above and below that price, the market would continue as normal. My algorithm spits out a single price at which a long or short is...

And you know this how? Seems to me that, at most, a lasting edge would take all the liquidity the market had to offer at a specific price, but wouldn't destroy it. You would always need a counterparty to your trade.

What's an example of a "successful fixed edge" which the market evolved specifically to counteract? Where is your evidence that there aren't successful fixed edges which were kept out of the public domain and continue to work year after year? By definition, if they are private, you won't know...

Not in all cases, no, but one of the features of the modern age is that political ideology is less and less simply a function of ethnicity or religion and more a function of a philosophical commitment to a set of principles. That's why you have nearly even elections in the US, despite the...

I think that you and I are, unfortunately, ahead of our time. We just need to wait for the rest of these idiots to wake up. Probably take a long time, though. But, the trend globally is more local determination and control, so it's only a matter of time until the centrifugal forces of those...

It's about political ideas. There are certainly correlated ethnic and religious attributes that tend to be found on partisans of both sides, but those are not the driving factors. Besides, given that it is a tenet of Leftist ideology that Christian whites suppress those of other religions &...

Why would we end up like Yugoslavia? The issues there were related to ethnicity and religion, neither of which are at issue here in the US, where the issues are related to political ideology. So, your objection is weak and what happened in Yugoslavia is irrelevant.

Which is why we should split up the country. No point in arguing past each other.

See table 6 on page 38 for the historical data. I had seen 6 to 1, but the table makes it look like 4 to 1 has been the average. http://www.aei.org/files/2010/12/27/20101227-Econ-WP-2010-04.pdf

You do realize that the GOP has been rolled on this very issue in the past, right? Any GOP negotiating team has to assume the Dems are negotiating in bad faith. To not assume that would be dereliction of duty.

Given that the numbers I cite are actuals, not hypotheticals, I can't say that it was unreasonable to reject the offer if the analysis of the hypotheticals led the GOP to believe the actuals would be much different. Also, that 6 to 1 was the minimal optimum ratio of cuts to hikes. In the US...

The OECD did a survey of a number of countries which faced the need to raise taxes and cut spending in light of financial crises and a rise in debt/GDP ratios where the US is at now. The data suggested that the optimal mix of tax hikes to spending cuts was on the order of $1 in hikes for...

Well, it looks like "Military Parades" is a ~$400 million dollar line item, so that only leaves ~$999.6 billion in non-road spending to account for. http://www.nctimes.com/news/elections/region-house-turns-deaf-ear-to-proposed-cut-in-military/article_e36094cd-7021-5eda-b949-c19cf2612859.html...

Where do you ever see Republicans complaining about roads? It's the trillion dollars-plus per year that is going to spending on non-road items that they complain about. Until that basic point is acknowledged, I don't see any basis for discussion.

Nope. We split by county. Percentage vote for President will be the metric. The map will look like this. http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mejn/election/2008/countymapredbluer1024.png Enjoy your blue enclaves. Good luck finding any sources of clean water or arable land to grow food in them...

Hey, guess what, the Presidential terms are only 4 years and the President's powers are limited. You don't get to dictate the length of the term by how you judge the amount of work that you think you need to do. It's almost as if Obama supporters never took a civics class. Again, I will...