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  1. blakpacman

    ES will crack soon

    It's kind of like Star Trek where the US monetary policy is boldly going where no man has gone before. We never had a world reserve currency country in full throttle quantitative easing. If the ES cracks, you already know what Janet Yellen will do. This is where being too tied to history, i.e...
  2. blakpacman

    Margin Debt Hits New High

    We all thought margin debt peaked back in April. WRONG :eek: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2013/10/21/margin-debt-hits-new-high/
  3. blakpacman

    QE increase announcement soon?

    Both economy and stocks are an issue. The Fed is trying to use stocks (and rising real estate prices) to create a wealth effect. The economy is only responding unenthusiastically. Fed's answer is to do more. What's next for LSAPs? REITs? Junk bonds? How about some Hollywood memorabilia? I would...
  4. blakpacman

    QE increase announcement soon?

    I think QE would be increased if or when stocks stop responding to current QE of $85 billion per month.
  5. blakpacman

    Mark Spitznagel Warns Today's "Distorted" Market Is "Set Up For A Major Crash"

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-23/mark-spitznagel-warns-todays-distorted-market-set-major-crash
  6. blakpacman

    The ACD Method

    Interesting ... maybe portends a bigger than normal fall. Certainly looking at a 5 year chart one can sense the amount of "potential energy" stored in that trading range from 2011 to 2013. This may be concurrent with the stock market down and bonds up ... then we all know what the Federal...
  7. blakpacman

    The ACD Method

    That whole run up into the Syria situation is now being unwound. Declining oil demand from impending recession is consistent with Bonds trading strong, as well as gold strength recently (except for today, of course) from expectation of delayed QE tapering.
  8. blakpacman

    NFLX Earnings.

    NFLX could be the proverbial canary in the coal mine. High PE stocks sooner or later fall from the weight of overvaluation. Even with today's correction, it's still at a staggering 402 times earnings. Icahn calling NFLX still highly undervalued is being disingenuous, especially since he sold...
  9. blakpacman

    The Reality of America's Finances

    Did you know...? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqxMlmpB66k
  10. blakpacman

    The ACD Method

    I like the action in Gold. Long. I was previously wrong about expecting downside breakdown.
  11. blakpacman

    Seasonal tendency so far not playing out in gold

    Go for the gold :eek: :)
  12. blakpacman

    Why Do People Buy At A Top?

    Because they think it's going higher, maybe a lot higher. Someone who bought a seemingly high TSLA at $100 has been rewarded. Same for those who bought seemingly high AMZN @ $200.
  13. blakpacman

    GOOG - Earnings this Thursday - Buy OTM weekly calls on Thursday

    Peter Brandt called a head and shoulders top in GOOG the day it bottomed and then soared into earnings. http://peterlbrandt.com/head-shoulders-rest-google-forming-textbook-top/
  14. blakpacman

    Colossal returns

    Where did I write about asking you to do the hard work for me? I wasn't even asking for your advice. I'm merely saying its a lot harder to make 20, 50, or 100x than it seems, whereas you seem to imply that you can to it with some regularity. You must be an options trading millionaire! As Neke...
  15. blakpacman

    Colossal returns

    So how many times have you made 20x or 50x on an options trade compared to the # of times you lost 100% of your options premium paid?
  16. blakpacman

    Colossal returns

    Strike out lots of times before hitting your "lottery ticket," if ever.
  17. blakpacman

    Seasonal tendency so far not playing out in gold

    Site below has data on the etf GLD's # of tonnes. It continues to make new lows as investors divest themselves of GLD, thus putting some downside pressure on the gold price. http://www.spdrgoldshares.com/usa/historical-data/
  18. blakpacman

    Nothing can stop this bull market?

    Shorting stocks is the way to the poorhouse in this market. Nasdaq is about to go vertical above its upper channel line, imo. You ain't seen nothing yet!
  19. blakpacman

    The ACD Method

    Watch bonds. In early stage of major run-up back to old highs. Maybe it's forecasting a recession. Ray Dalio had been long since 1 or 2 months ago.
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