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@Grailer Welcome to ET. Nice to see other traders who understand just what is possible for the little guys staying completely under every liquidity constraint. You've already been hit with the compounding argument and people citing the lack of 9 figure + traders having 100%+ returns as...

@s0mmi , or anyone else who trades futures on faster time-frames and cares to weigh in; I don't have a specific question per se, but something I've wondered about from time to time is how people settle on a maximum clip size. At this point my interest is still academic, but I'd be interested...

May he rest in peace. I often wish I had a little more time where we were both active on the forum. I came here late; already missed Spydertrader, and although jack advanced my understanding of the market leaps and bounds, I think our dialogues could've gotten much better if I had more time to...

I mean; the total equity is still decent. But take a look at just the past week including today. It just ugly, and it makes me feel unpleasant. It isn't even from poor market conditions or a bad event, just really bad trading.

Thanks for weighing in. I think you underscored one of the biggest keys to this method; finding reasons to hold. If someone enters on an FTT, no matter what bar interval, the ratio of the potential loss to the point where your hypothesis is proved wrong with certainty vs. the potential length...

:) Thanks for the kind words. Also, @river Here is an example of my more classical ES trading. Sometimes I just hold a single leg of the slow fractal, like I mentioned before, and exit on what seems to be a clean completion point; either from time constraints or if I'm not 100% certain of...

Here's my total curve for the NQ morning sessions when I can make time for them. Don't feel comfortable scaling this curve while it's so crappy. A few decent runs like this can keep me above ground, but in lower pace I'm far from satisfied with my performance. I know I can do a lot better...

My 90m this morning on 1 NQ contract. You can get away with just about anything in vol like this..

I believe the initial package with Spyder's bar colors and initial price cases is a downloadable library called PVFiles from Trade Navigator. It might even be referenced in the TL thread. Since then there's been a private modification or two of that. I don't feel that the script I am using...

Nature of the Recent Markets Thanks for weighing in on the present nature of the markets vs. that of the PV heyday. It's a topic I've often contemplated myself. I have found the recent markets more difficult to trade as well, with much more drift than charts of years past. With my current...

Nice to hear from you guys. You guys both demonstrate a good point; this method has an elusive quality to it. Despite the mechanical foundation which the method utilizes, complete objectivity may be impossible to come by. So many times there are multiple possibilities simultaneously on the...

This method isn't a neat little rule-set. A myriad of factors affect the duration and behavior of trends. Here is a random example of how waning market participation creates drift without a change in sentiment.

The market is fractal. Trends can be put together into bigger trends.

The small movements of price can be put together into trends. There is a gaussian sequence that corresponds with the geometry and behavior of the trend.

zzz Preamble Wow, today I just checked the date on Fractal Theory I. Definitely doesn't feel like it's been 1.5 years since my last thread. There's a bit of a lull for me in things to engage with during the day as of late. Thought I'd do the periodic sweep to see if there are any lurkers...

There's a concept in Catholic doctrine called the moral object. The moral object of an action is the ultimate end to which that action is ordered towards, regardless of the actual motives of the individual, or the real-life consequences and benefits that end up resulting from the action. I'm...

Delusion: A belief that is firmly maintained despite being contradicted by generally accepted reality or rational argument. You have a delusion that you are capable of successful trading in your current state. You have been defending your delusion by alternatively ignoring, rejecting, and now...

Perhaps my reply got a bit too wordy. The BO down through the day session low was the criteria for my short. Essentially, the "buy" signal at the DB just past 1500 signaled the end of my short. I could've reversed long as well at this point but I decided not to. HTH.

Trendlines are one of the core pillars of my own trading personally. A lot of good points have been made here. Sure, they aren't respected 100% by price to the tick, but any proficient user of them knows they aren't intended to be. But for the large part I've found they are extremely...

While it may not be realistic to expect that, there's nothing that tells us that it absolutely won't happen. You might have a good case for arguing that; but at the end of the day it's a conclusion which stems from inductive reasoning. And to place a guarantee on something like that is not a...