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That is why at the very least, people should post their trades on collective2 or some other venue to be held accountable. This forum is not suitable for position/call monitoring. Aside from the occaisional scalp, the original thesis (eur/gbp top) was premature by 1000 pips. A discussion...

That's what makes a market :D The only one I am down on is EUR/USD. The others have more than offset those losses. Best of luck.

That's why the play is... Short EUR/USD Short GBP/USD Long EUR/GBP

dhpar is spot on! I have been long this and short gbp/usd for over a month. Unfortunately I am also short eur/usd which hasn't played out yet.

The Fed has been looking at this for some time now. This excerpt is from the Oct 2001 Fed meeting and you can basically substitute UST for JGB. This is part of the bank bailout plan. Staying with the Japanese markets for a bit on page two, the top panel shows the 5-year Japanese...

Because you, me and Uncle Sam are going to back them. With rates going lower in a deflationary environment, spreads will remain wider albeit off a much lower base.

Move up the capital structure. Forget equities and buy corporate debt. If not qualified, invest in a mutual fund that accomplishes this.

Deflation. The Japanese have done everything within their power over the last few years to mask the growth and inflation they were actually experiencing in order to lower the value of the yen in hopes of exporting their way to stable growth. While the rest of the world's CPI and PPI's were...

5:1 for the portfolio on average (eur/usd is 1 of 12 positions)

Short from 1.2675, no stop no time frame, looking for sub 1.20

SELL EURO, THE ECB HAS GOT THEIR HEADS SO FAR UP THEIR ASS IT'S REDICULOUS!!!

Very good point on many levels.

All systems, regardless of abilities to perform in multiple market conditions will have periods of underperformance, ergo rule nothing. Euro and Yen are in obvious downtrends with enhanced volatility, really not that hard to grasp conceptually. If you keep getting fooled by what would under...

All strategies are risky all the time. Even arbitrage. Risk / reward. If your strategy cannot adapt on a dynamic basis to prevailing market conditions it is worthless. Instead of finding that out by taking losses, take the time to identify a strategy that will work in changing market...

We are in a new paradigm, better get used to it.

John Maynard Keynes, "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent."

Japanese government "might" intervene in the JPY.... It is the most manipulated currency in the world, bar none. Chinese renminbi is a poster child of transparent exchange rates compared to JPY. "All daily return distributions have excess kurtosis relative to the normal distribution...

Figures.....as soon as I type the prior message my system reverses. I am now long from 6.95. Hopefully the data will affirm my position.

I covered my remaining shorts, thought about going long and then reshorted. (6.88 avg price) Fundamentally we are at an inflection point, so we'll see how the seasonal factors play in with the next 2 data points. I am keeping a tight leash on these shorts though.

Need at least 3 more weeks of bullish inventory data to say this is a base, otherwise all bets are off for a bottom.