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  1. R

    California has just stopped paying its bills

    How many people going to those clinics are illegal immigrants? Not all of them are, of course, but I'll bet a lot of them are.
  2. R

    no analysis of greeks when trading options

    Even if you're just a directional trader you need to keep volatility (and thus vega) in mind. Suppose an equity has just got whacked down hard on some bad news. You decide this was an overreaction and expect it to pop back up at least half way to where it used to be. So you buy a call. Oops...
  3. R

    TNA (3x Bullish Small Cap) - Big Bet on a Pop in Two Days

    Now I don't fell quite so stupid when I lose a few hundred dollars on a bad option play.
  4. R

    8 Days To Mid East War?

    Agreed.
  5. R

    BackTesting vs WalkForward

    It sounds like you are assuming the back tester will be stupid enough to use the same time periods for the learning phase that he uses for the testing phase. Assuming that the back tester has at least the brains of an oyster, he will not do this, but will instead use different time periods for...
  6. R

    Kim Snider

    Wow indeed. From that document: "While the rules of the Snider Method prohibit selling stocks at a loss, this does not limit or prevent the accumulation of unrealized losses. Nor does it guarantee that a position will eventually close or that unrealized losses won’t persist indefinitely...
  7. R

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    The price and yield are directly connected. How much price appreciation can you really expect on a 1% bond? If its a 5 year bond at 1% and then interest rates go to 0 you'll get about a 5% appreciation in the value of the bond. That's your maximum upside. If people get sane and realize that...
  8. R

    AAPL put paid off at 5-1 today

    It's easy to find, after the fact, short duration options that have doubled, tripled, quadrupled, quintupled, or sextupled in value in a day or two. So what? It's also easy to find, after the fact, people who made a million times gain by buying a lottery ticket.
  9. R

    Deep-ITM covered calls

    If you bought the stock and sold the ITM covered call then of course your stock will be called away and you won't be short any stock. But your stock is sold for less than you paid for it, so net you will make the time value of the call -- which is the same as the time value of the put at the...
  10. R

    Using options in TF

    What do you mean by "use options as a stop loss"?
  11. R

    18.9 million homes in America are vacant.

    One of those houses is across the street from me. It was foreclosed two years ago and has been empty ever since. Naturally that's doing wonders for the resale value of *my* house.
  12. R

    Deep-ITM covered calls

    So you're saying that at expiration the call is 2.50 in the money. Just before expiration you could buy back the call for a bit over 2.50, making close to 270 net. If instead you actually let the call expire ITM it will automatically be exercised and you will be short 100 shares of the stock...
  13. R

    * UPDATE: GS - Closing the Weekly Trade

    Any time I can get 26% in a day I'm happy to take the profits and run. Of course I can't trade at anywhere near the size of the trades that get featured here. (I don't think livevol will ever have a post that begins "10 put spreads were sold on XOM today...".)
  14. R

    ongoing option newb questions

    Thanks for clearing that up.
  15. R

    In my opinion, trading is one of the only few ways left to thrive in this world.

    It's really hard to accept trading advice from a guy whose screen name is deadbroke.
  16. R

    ongoing option newb questions

    I'm confused. If you're only buying calls and not hedging with stock how can you be delta neutral?
  17. R

    USA is sinking into 3rd world status

    Actually, if you want people to ride bikes you should have paved roads. Gravel is an excellent way of making bikes lose traction and fall over.
  18. R

    ongoing option newb questions

    What does this have to do with options?
  19. R

    What the hell is wrong with this country when Linda McMahon beats Peter Schiff ????

    Sharron Angle isn't my ideal candidate but I'll take her over Harry Reid any day of the week. In politics the choices aren't between good and bad, they're between bad and horrible.
  20. R

    Trading is NOT a business

    You have discovered that markets are efficient. If any publicized indicator or chart pattern worked consistently everybody would be using it and that would change the market in such a way that the method would no longer work. That is why real traders never reveal the trading criteria they use...
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