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the fact that you are calling this on a retail trading forum means we are a long long way off any short term top.

stop with the multi-nic mental illness.

you gotta be shitting me take a look at the weekly and monthly chart. I did quietly predict to myself that you would get back in and short again. Look the initial short was a horrible trade. When you get it so wrong the temptation is then to get back in and try and 'make it back'. You are not...

surf - you might want to incorporate some inter market analysis for the pile drivers.

it seems someone may have blown up their $100 nadex demo account. :cool: hands down i think this is one of the worst trades I have seen in 18 years trading. If you short up here (and you shouldn't) you want to be cutting instantly and having a word with yourself. Fundamentals of it are all...

Personally I wouldn't bother trying to 'detect' large individual trades/traders and here is why. I used to trade energy at a firm. Block trades happen all the time off exchange you can't track them and they don't move the underlying market in my experience as they are off exchange. If a larger...

i am loving the entertainment on this thread. A trader who scales or averages into a position and takes SMALL winners is a chump. If you are going to scale into trades you need to be very disciplined, you have to have a very good understanding of the market and where larger players are...

I am not long equities atm but I am long US dollar. Going short equities here is truly horrible. The dow is ready to rip another couple of hundred ticks anytime now imo. Can't believe marketfaker wrote book of fluff lol. enjoy the ride.

Hey Adam I am answering this from the perspective of trading Energy Futures on CME & ICE, I have traded rates but my knowledge is thin there. It is completely up to you how you execute your fly. If you execute using an autospreader then software has a ton of configuration options. See here...

OP shorted before the tax cut announcements. Oh dear

here is a teaser for you and showing how reading books and papers can get you only so far. people with specialist knowledge in this field are trading things like the below chart. This is a double butterfly spread away from the front of the CL curve. It shows the market profile of last 8 days...

ok since you sound nice here are some tips. That chart is plotted wrong hence the spikes ie the prices at the extremes were not available ever. In the case of oil Brent & WTI only calendar exchange spreads trade on the exchange, higher order spreads like condors, flys, doubles etc are not...

I have a lot of experience trading energy spreads. I will tell you this, you are opening a big can of worms, in that game execution and liquidity are everything. New guys want to scalp or day trade, the bigger more durable players swing trade outrights or in some cases spreads. There is no low...

It's a common misconception that to make money all you need to do is fade a losing trader. The market moves to be all consuming. It's cryptic but there is no upside to explaining why.

Initial stop is 1R. I always look to reduce the risk as soon as possible. You can see this in action in my live trade call in gold recently where I trailed the stop up. if 'a lot' of people are doing something or thinking something in trading they are usually wrong. Never go with the...

No I haven't.

why did it take them so long to shut these crooks down? and why did so many people trade there given their long history of regulatory censure? amazes me people do no due diligence.

Target hit for 3.06 R:R. I have called 3 trades live on this thread. 2 losers 1 winner. Risking 1% per trade would be a net return of 1.00% over the 3 trades.

59% not great! If I make 30%-50% in 1 year I am ecstatic. Personally I think this is why so many fail they seriously overtrade and over leverage. Root cause of problem is trading a small account.

Trade update. Trailing stop up to 1204 holding for original 1233 target.