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    Things may be ugly tomorrow---Egypt

    Last part is true, however printing money <<< Dow Jones 12,000. Not nearly enough money has been printed to get it there and it needs a deeper correction. Edit: Before you say "but it's been there!", think about what you are saying for a moment. Getting to 12,000 took both QE and a whole lot...
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    Assume lets say, that you know exact date and time of Collapse

    You're really not worth helping, but in case anyone who isn't a retard is wondering about this question: a) profits are made in terms of the currency in which the security is held. Thus a USD-denominated put on the DJIA will yield profits in USD. Thus if you have a CAD-denominated account and...
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    The Close Today & After Hours !!!! Something Strange

    The cash ES? Let's not get into that. Anyway it's quite pointless to try to explain what happened there. I noticed it too and the price went down on volume, so people were dumping and there weren't enough willing buyers so the price auctioned down at the last second. You can call it...
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    The S&P has topped !

    YES!!! MY TRICK WORKED! I knew it. Anyway it went down a little faster than I'd expected, but oh well. I love those moments when everybody is trying to pile into a trade at once :D Probably lots of stupid fuckers who went max leverage on the way up and kept buying on unrealized profits...
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    Moody's Signals Risk of Negative Outlook for U.S. Rating

    Well it's a self-fulfilling prophecy, just like with the EU peripherals. As long as nobody bothers to ask how feasible this all is, countries can keep borrowing at ridiculous rates and they will be able to stay afloat without much effort really. I have no doubt that if interest rates don't...
  6. L

    The fund who shorted NFLX?

    The fund you refer to is also long in other things and I fully agreed with their analysis, even though I am not willing to short NFLX because it won't go down before it reaches a higher level (and then it'll go down hard, the fund will make money in the end if they hold on or add to their position).
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    The S&P has topped !

    I would really hope so, but there are some elements that are giving me the chills. For example the put/call volume ratio has rapidly moved into utterly bullish territory (as in lots of put buying going on the past few days). It really seems like the market is still a closet bear which is...
  8. L

    Why market sentiment does not call tops

    Look dude, just because the FED has been in expansionary mode for the last 30-35 years almost non-stop (some brief pauses) doesn't mean it can keep this up forever. In the end stock values are largely decided by the amount of money chasing them and this amount is largely decided by the FED...
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    Why market sentiment does not call tops

    I was being ironic. The reason markets are "designed to go up" is because this seems to be some kind of religion to which we must desperately cling. Even the government seems to think so. The Japanese market was also "designed to go up" and it nonetheless has been going steadily down for about...
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    Why market sentiment does not call tops

    and why it is more likely to call bottoms. If everybody is bearish, the market may not rally sharply, but it very likely won't go down more than it has already in the near-term (unless there is an outlier event like a financial meltdown, that has to be discounted) Traditionally one would...
  11. L

    $25,000 minimum for daytrading needs to be changed

    yr kidding, it puts firms at risk? How does even 20000 <$25k noobs in one stock (maximal capital of $499,999,999) put a firm that is TBTF at risk?
  12. L

    $25,000 minimum for daytrading needs to be changed

    You know, the idea that traders have (otherwise trading would be pointless) are that markets are inefficient. For them to be inefficient there need to be inefficient traders. No trader in their right mind would be in favor of the PDT rule because it decreases efficiency of the markets...
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    Fu Piigs

    What you're referring to is apples and oranges comparisons between countries that do not have a similar socio-economic structure (for example Russia, China, most of Africa, parts of south america) while comparing PIIGS to FR and UK is definitely not apples and oranges. It's also not "just"...
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    Fu Piigs

    I suppose that everybody agrees France and UK are not rightfully excluded from the list hence started to discuss whether Germany should be on it? lol...
  15. L

    Tons of trading signals!

    What you are saying is that it is pretty much random who does something first :) It's only easy in hindsight to say something is correlated. If you're saying it for this moment is's hope and pray it stays that way. It's like buying the dip every time until it blows up.
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    Fu Piigs

    Well, Germany actually is better. More job creation and nice trade account surplus combined with fiscal prudence make it a much better place than the rest. The Netherlands too by the way.
  17. L

    Super-Cycle Leaves No Economy Behind Before Davos Summit - Bloomberg

    Yes. That is why I am not too optimistic as well, but I'll cede that it's possible. I mean, history does not repeat itself contrary to popular belief. It's new and unpredictable every time. Maybe we'll have a 50-year supercycle. Maybe the superness will NEVER end...maybe maybe...Still it seems...
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    Fu Piigs

    France UK Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain. I don't understand what's different about France and Uk except that they're not considered to be lazy (like IGS) nor are they in as bad shape as I, but seriously, the debt and deficit differences between UK/France and Spain and Italy are really...
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    RSI: Selecting the best period?

    Yup. The point being that such indicators (MA's, RSI, momentum) you should be able to see with your naked eye, sort of. The problem is that if you use the RSI at some point you will start to assume that automatically it means that if RSI is overbought that prices will go down and vice versa...
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    The beautiful and the damned

    Yup, but that's a gray area to me already because they may actually pull their weight and it's measurable (i.e. they are the best athletes and entertainers the world has to offer because it's a more open and free market). It's also measurable how much revenue is generated during a sports or...
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