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Gosh I wonder why quite the opposite tendency is the case near contract expiration?

Haha you take yourself very seriously don't you? Big shot got a clue where the big money is going? Every rally has a guy like you going hallelujah over finding the big money. Personally I just snigger at some of these opinion pieces I read, going "Well, we're in a bull market because the...

Imagine what happens if an actually relevant country gives the global financial system the finger.

Get real. Going back to 600.

This. If there was free money there would be a lot of people picking it up. There are a lot of "anomalies" in the financial markets which are interpreted one way or another but don't actually mean anything (for example also usage of the ECB emergency liquidity facility (or whatever that was...

Well, I mainly look at the European indices and they had no such squeeze at all. In fact the CAC40 seemed pretty depressed going into the close while the ES was still pretty much rippin' and rollin' and had three basically flat days now. Possibly a distribution. Tto get out of an uptrend you...

There hasn't been a trend in history, I believe, both up and down, that people haven't blamed on anything other than that there were simply more buyers or sellers than the current prices would bear.

What will you do when you see a black swan?

:confused:

Perhaps there's someone around who can give some better argumentation than I can whether the following scenario is likely or not. Given the situation in which Ireland and Greece find themselves (subjugation of the banking system to central Europe, less freedom in fiscal policy and basically...

I've always found it that the arguments the other presents are given extra merit by ad hominem attacks on the other party. You have me convinced and I believe you, there is rampant inflation well above the historical mean!

Indeed I haven't got a wife and thank god do not manage a household. Other than that, ordinary people ALWAYS complain about inflation because they think "life is getting more expensive". My parents complained when I was a kid, my grandparents complained when they were kids and so forth...

There is very little evidence outside of speculative instruments (commodity futures) that there is worrying (let alone hyper)inflation ANYWHERE in the developed countries. It's a fairy tale m8. I think the very recent inflation that has been noted by sources like BPP can be attributed to...

Here's another one: High profile IPO's. Facebook wasn't really an IPO but it's the same difference. Then we have a bunch of other internet companies like Pandora and some other stuff I can't remember. Anyway, it might not be quite there yet, but these things are definitely trending upward.

I know what's going to break this uptrend. It looks like people around the world are getting fed up with taking it up the ass. This is off course perfectly reasonable if your government is a dictatorship and you live in poverty, it is not so much when you have gone on a lending binge, overspent...

hahaha, love this thread. Hey I just had a bullish thought. What IF (IF IF IF) the "deception" that mr. Market is playing is that instead of that this is a mania induced by QE2(3,4,5,6) the stock market is in effect recovering on its own and when QE ends nobody will give a shit cos the...

haha well by that timeline it should all blow up right around the same time. Add to that the China real estate bubble and the European debt crisis, the Middle Eastern crisis (which I believe is yet to fully develop) and there literally is no place on earth that won't have major major issues in...

This isn't how it works. The April 2010 "crisis" was totally not off everybodies radar at all. In fact the news had been reporting about it a bit in the weeks leading up to the correction and increased coverage during. However if you were paying attention you definitely could have seen that one...

Rise in commodities is mostly speculative (as in not fundamental as in it will likely mean revert possibly quite soon but definitely eventually). Like I said, it's mostly an idea in the speculator's minds that the FED is backstopping the market. There is no such thing as "backstopping the...

Neither and both. The problem is a little more complex and there is no way of knowing what would've happened without QE. I think we would have had real deflation which would have sucked for a while, however the system would have been purged of non-capitalistic incentives. Assuming that there is...