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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I trade USDJPY due to the low spreads and large expansive moves. I over trade quite a bit because I keep hoping that I’ll “learn as I go” sort of approach. I don’t have a rock solid entry/exit system. I trade based on intuition. I use the 1 minute exclusively. I don’t trust traditional ideas and...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I mean it’s a great idea in theory and I tried it for awhile but it wasn’t working for me. Maybe I went about it the wrong way though. Maybe I should more so work out what I can do differently so I can not be wrong
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    See I tried this already though. it didn’t work. Basically, I started trading against myself but when I traded against myself, I started being wrong again lol
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    It feels like a guessing game though and I usually guess wrong. How do I predict better?
  5. N

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Maybe at support/resistance. Still trying to figure this out. I’ve tried precise entries but those don’t seem to work or at least I haven’t gotten them to work
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    According to the OP, all the risk management won’t help you if you don’t know the obvious
  7. N

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Is he possibly implying that there are multiple obvious reasons and not just one obvious? Is he saying you need an edge? If so, why does he so Backtesting is worthless? How else can you get an edge unless the edge is by being more mindful than other traders…? Am I missing something? Also, I...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Is the obvious noted by NYSESTOCKS that price has to be moving? Is he suggesting that price goes through different market conditions and price can literally be doing basically nothing? Also, this thread has me thinking in a couple of ways… such as: — do I need to trade against other traders — am...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Right, but if a positive expectation existed, then why is it always stated that past performance doesn’t guarantee future returns? If the expectation isn’t consistent, is it a true expectation?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Are you trading on a positive expectation?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Why do you think the stock market is not negative expectation?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    What makes you think that trading is any different from a casino? The double zero mentioned is the fees and the commissions. If trading is purely random, you lose in the long run. PS: I’d appreciate it if someone can help put me on the right path. I’ve wasted a lot of time with wrong paths. Is...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Not really. This is false. A trader is already losing due to fees and commissions even with 50% odds
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    One of the OPs said that everything flows from the positive to negative and that it’s for a reason. Are we saying that the market purposely moves back and fourth from martingale to reverse martingale?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    How do you combine the 2?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    It was waiting to see what happened first so he could ”react” instead of “predict” what will happen?
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I’ve done this though and it doesn’t seem to work for long? Maybe I should have waited more patiently? Idk
  18. N

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Up down or sideways. But how does this help me?
  19. N

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    What are you getting at? Yes
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