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  1. Primal Trader

    Walgreens Probability of Bankruptcy

    Interesting, and maybe karma at work in due time? One of the very worst shopping experiences of my life was in one of their stores. A hostile, incompetent, incredibly rude cashier. I have never again spent another cent there. In addition, I know more than a few people who refuse to shop there...
  2. Primal Trader

    Hedge Fund jurisdiction thoughts? Bermuda or Caymans?

    Doug Casey and his team know more about the realities of international financial jurisdictions than a lot of us combined, decades of real world experience with such things. I have studied his material for quite some time, a very grounded approach. He thinks extremely highly of the Cayman...
  3. Primal Trader

    Never ever come to Kazakhstan if you invest/trade

    I actually am not that surprised by this atrocious case. I was visiting in nearby Uzbekistan way back in the mid-80's, some tricky, convoluted situations where who knows what was really going on. In my travels to around 40 countries, at times I have run into the most bizarre laws and rules...
  4. Primal Trader

    USFR has a very predictable chart pattern

    Actually, I prefer BIL for parking spare cash in my Roth when I am not actively using a portion of my account, waiting for opportunities. It has the same pattern, it climbs each day, and then the day the dividend is paid it crashes back down to the starting point. I have preferred riding it for...
  5. Primal Trader

    JPMorgan Says Exit Five-Year Treasury Bets, Bank Angst Overdone

    On most platforms it is ZF. With Tastytrade, I just click on the bid or ask and the options chain pops up, same symbol. Trading options on futures can supply amazing capital efficiency. BTW, both ZT which is the 2 year note, and ZF, have about the lowest trade costs of all outright full-sized...
  6. Primal Trader

    JPMorgan Says Exit Five-Year Treasury Bets, Bank Angst Overdone

    Thanks for that post, which I had not seen anywhere else. That was indeed an unusually "prescient" call on their part! Maybe they are psychic! :rolleyes: Nothing like connections ... I wish I had seen it yesterday, the 5 year treasury futures are becoming a personal favorite of mine, but I have...
  7. Primal Trader

    Why is customer service so bad at most brokers?

    I hear you, over the years I certainly had some similar experiences. I can recommend tastytrade based on almost 2 years of experience and I have 2 accounts with them. Tech support has been cordial and competent for me, with that department I have always been able to get through by phone. There...
  8. Primal Trader

    Trading Natural Gas

    I liked what I was seeing on both the Natural Gas daily chart and the weather charts, so I made this market my first trade of 2024, it was time to take the plunge! My UNG position bought at $5.19 per share in my Roth account is up about 3.1 % so far in about 20 hours of holding it. A key price...
  9. Primal Trader

    A Billion $ Scam

    I had actually run into that article myself when it came out. CNN is now unfortunately infamous for bias, sloppy reporting, and even misinformation. However, not always, and in this case they did some excellent "gumshoe" hard-working Journalism, and I was impressed ... and enraged. In my days...
  10. Primal Trader

    Trading Natural Gas

    Here is a very pertinent article from CME on the impact El Nino and storage levels are having on Natural Gas: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2023/as-el-nino-intensifies-natural-gas-takes-a-tumble.html
  11. Primal Trader

    NatGas market... the "widow maker"

    With a decades long interest in meteorology and climatology, Natural Gas has been a natural draw for me. It has been fascinating to watch sudden flips in weather models, and the instant panic in this market, due to an impending worse than expected cold snap or heat wave! Or a hurricane exploding...
  12. Primal Trader

    Micro Natural Gas Futures and Options on their way!

    In the past, Advantage Futures seemed to have every product imaginable that CME created, and currently they are showing the Micro Natural Gas on their main page under the Exchange Corner feature, quite possible they have already activated it. https://www.advantagefutures.com
  13. Primal Trader

    Micro Natural Gas Futures and Options on their way!

    I have been trading futures for over 13 years. That is NOT how futures work, that instantly when CME starts a new product that it is available immediately across all brokers, quite the opposite. It takes time and testing, it is more complex than just adding a symbol, especially with some...
  14. Primal Trader

    Buy OTM puts, grab as many 10yr T-Note futures as you can

    Be careful out there. Even seasoned treasuries traders are quite perplexed some days by the recent moves in this complex. Yesterday was a great example of a much stronger than expected reaction to the questionable retail sales in the US. Also two supply/demand factors at play. Increasing supply...
  15. Primal Trader

    Micro Natural Gas Futures and Options on their way!

    I quite disagree with your post and the "small boys" rhetoric, there are various uses of micro contracts including hedging, especially when they have options! Some said the same when MCL was introduced. Compare if you will the current volume on the QM to the MCL. It is one of the most successful...
  16. Primal Trader

    Micro Natural Gas Futures and Options on their way!

    Sharing some good news. Last year I had strongly encouraged CME to create a Micro Natural Gas future, the Widow maker can be tough to trade and such a smaller contract would be quite useful. Well indeed they are not only introducing Micro Natural Gas futures on November 6, but they will also...
  17. Primal Trader

    Trading indexes in an IRA W/O a Custodian?

    I have been exceptionally pleased with them on pretty much every level, in fact they are now the only broker I use. ACH withdrawals and additions to a Roth are a snap, just requires two factor for withdrawals. Another advantage is that you will be able to trade Options on Micro Futures such as...
  18. Primal Trader

    Futures Brokers for IRA that DON"T require a Custodian?

    I have been exceptionally pleased with them on pretty much every level, in fact they are now the only broker I use. ACH withdrawals and additions to a Roth are a snap, just requires two factor for withdrawals. Another advantage is that you will be able to trade Options on Micro Futures such as...
  19. Primal Trader

    The recent drop in volatility / VIX.

    "the market definitely is taking on a new characteristic here that we haven't seen in a long while." Yes, I would go even further and say there are new characteristics we have NEVER seen before, i.e., the exploding popularity of ODTE speculation. The VIX of old might never be the same...
  20. Primal Trader

    Which bank stocks are you buying?

    Reporting back on that recent Credit Suisse trade. The stock was held for just under 20 hours, and then the price action indicated momentum was dissipated from the key announcement. So I exited yesterday an hour before the start of RTH, made about 20 %, or about 1 % per hour. I suspect some...
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