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Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Sugar COT Change (52W) / C – 23%, LS – 22%, SS - 24% / FTG Score / D 15.8, W -38.8, M -14.8 / Larger change in Traders positions suggest some rebound in prices. The extreme has risen also, plus weekly and monthly FTG scores are...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 34%, LS – 36% 14% / FTG Score / D -4.1, W 28.0, M 36.8 / Interesting to see Traders still close to bullish extreme levels here. As said in the review, I think we should always have a look at the...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 35%, LS – 31%. 29% / FTG Score / D 49.1, W 9.0, M 21.4 / All cot signals show bearishness in the market, but FTG scores seem to be supporting higher prices. RBOB Gasoline COT Extreme / C, LS – All...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 18%, LS – 27% / FTG Score / D 32.4, W 18.3, M 17.8 / Bullish cot change signal together with positive reading from FuturesTradingGuides suggesting further strength in the market. Soybean Oil COT...

Hi treeman, No, these are not 2 weeks old data. CFTC publishes the cot report on a weekly basis, but you can find a lot more information about this if you read the first posts in this thread ;) COT analysis is stress measuring tool for me, thus market reaction can be very slow... best for...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. This time I want to focus ONLY on metals, especially Silver!! Silver COT Change (52W) / C – 13%, LS – 12%, SS – 7% / COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -21.9, W -34, M 3.3 / Not only do we have a bullish cot...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 17%, LS – 9%, SS – 24% / FTG Score / D 12.9, W 25.3, M 26.4 / With a bullish cot change signal and no bearish extreme present, adding bullish FTG values I would be expecting further increasing...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. USD Index COT Change (52W) / C – 20%, LS – 18%, SS – 16% / FTG Score / D 41.1, W -0.1, M 14.3 / The larger than average change in Traders positions suggests that prices may fall in the short run, but looking at the extreme, I don’t...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 26%, LS – 22% / FTG Score / D 35.4, W 35.1, M 25.5 / The bearish cot change signal is telling us that prices will not be able to continue their rise early this week, but FTG Score 35.4 (Daily) is...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. USD Index COT Change (52W) / C – 47%, LS – 47% / FTG Score / D 36.8, W -10.5, M 20.7 / We are witnessing truly large changes in Traders position (bearish cot signal), but caution is advised for two reasons: The bullish cot extreme...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Sugar COT Change (52W) / C – 27%, LS – 23%, SS – 21% / FTG Score / D -42.4, W -48.9, M -3.5 / Large bearish cot change signal combined with FTG scores that signal weakness in the market --> I am expecting a bit of pullback in...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Mexican Peso COT Change (52W) / C – 28%, LS – 27%, SS – 31% / FTG Score / D -29.6, W -18, M -46.1 / Huge change in Traders positions (bullish cot signal) and the stresses in the market are also becoming more and more bullish...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Orange Juice COT Change (52W) / C – 29%, LS – 26%, SS – 30% / Nice signal from the change in Traders positions, but I don’t see a big extreme yet. Swiss Franc COT Extreme / C – 566, LS – 307 report, SS – All Time COT extreme /...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Orange Juice COT Change (52W) / C – 28%, LS – 22%, SS – 22% / The large change in Traders positions suggest that prices may fall back a little, but analyzing the stress level in the market I can except further increases in the next...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Rough Rice COT Change (52W) / C – 21%, LS – 14%, SS – 31% / Bearish COT change signal combined with an extreme bearish cot extreme. Eyes on rough Rice. Coffee COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / All time bullish cot...

I totally agree with you!! So in the long run, during major trends, Large Speculators are the ones who are on the right side of the market (simply look at the charts and you will find that the graph of LS net positions is correlating with the price), but(!) at extremes, when there is too much...

Yes, this is called commercial capitulation! :) "Commercials hedge the most when they believe that the actual price is very favorable for them to hedge their future production. While they have an information advantage, they still cannot know the future. Sometimes, major shifts occur, that...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Rough Rice COT Change (52W) / C – 15%, LS – 10%, SS – 22% / Although we have this bearish cot change signal, I’d stay away from any short trade. Volume and OI analysis is supporting further rallies in the market and the extreme...

Well maybe we don't have to agree on everything right? ;) Anyhow I appreciate your contribution to my thread, thank you for sharing your view on this! All the best, Dunstan

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Gold COT Change (52W) / C – 19%, LS – 19% / Bullish cot change signal possibly pushing prices higher the next few days, but no extreme. Silver COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / Further increase in the cot extreme here...