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Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Soybean Oil COT Change (52W) / C – 36%, LS – 40% / Technically, we are close to an important resistance level, so the large cot change may capable of stopping the rally, BUT (!) let’s not forget that in the medium...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 44%, LS – 31%, SS – 21% / The situation is pretty confusing… Prices were unable to decline further, while the extreme was so large. Now we see Traders moving away from their extremes...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Coffee COT Change (52W) / C

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Japanese Yen COT Change (52W) / C

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Japanese Yen COT Change (52W) / C

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C

I agree with your statement. As I’ve mentioned earlier a couple of times (see for example my post on: 07-26-12), cot analysis is just one tool that in my opinion should be used by many of us. It is a tool that works together with our system. It is a great measurement of stresses in a...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Palladium COT Change (52W) / C – 21%, LS – 21% / The 21% change in large Trader’s positions is a bearish cot signal that says prices will decline and looking at the chart we might have a sense that it is...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Heating Oil COT Change (52W) / C – 13%, LS – 12%, SS – 12% / It’s a difficult situation, because the last major cot extreme is still in place (bullish cot signal that has been able to push prices...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Palladium COT Change (52W) / C – 28%, LS - 30% / The last major cot extreme (a couple of reports ago) is in effect in my opinion. The change we’ve got suggests that prices may rally a bit. Cocoa COT Extreme / C & LS...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Coffee COT Change (52W) / C – 27%, LS - 23% / The large cot extreme that we had in early November signaled well the bottom in coffee… now we have this large change in Trader’s positions, which I believe will...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Copper COT Change (52W) / C – 22%, LS - 28% / We’ve got our two major cot analysis tools pointing the opposite way this week: the change in Trader’s positions was large, suggesting prices should decline, but the last...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Dow Jones-30 COT Change (52W) / C – 27%, LS - 24%, SS – 22% / Without the large cot extreme, this change in Trade’s positions is not enough for me to really seriously consider a larger short trade&#8230...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. 5-Year Note COT Change (52W) / C – 22%, LS - 22%, SS – 19% / Looking at a longer chart, we can see how the recent cot extreme managed to push prices higher. The bearish signal coming from the latest report (large...

Hi everyone, (Sorry for my late update… I took a little holiday :), just came back yesterday) The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Copper COT Change (52W) / C – 25%, LS - 30% / COT Extreme / LS – All Time COT extreme / The very large change in...

Hi everyone, CFTC has resumed publishing the cot reports, they are up-to-date again!  The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Soybean Meal COT Change (52W) / C – 31%, LS - 36%, SS - 18% / If we look at the last one year, we can find that similar large changes in...

Hi everyone, It seems that the U.S. Shutdown has an effect on us, people who follow the cot reports. The CFTC has stopped issuing the reports for now. Let’s hope that this situation will not last very long! All the best, Dunstan

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Dow Jones-30 COT Change (52W) / C – 42%, LS - 29%, SS - 54% / COT Extreme / C-553 report, LS – All Time COT extreme / The huge change in Trader’s positions and the All Time cot extreme both are very strong bearish...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 44%, LS - 36%, SS - 26% / The large change in Trader’s positions may shake prices a bit (we could see declining prices), but in the medium/long term, I don’t see, why prices...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Sugar COT Change (52W) / C – 34%, LS - 26%, SS - 45% / The large change in Trader’s positions suggest that prices will drop. Of course we never should forget to look at the bigger picture. If we open a longer chart, we can...