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  1. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Is it related to cheapest to deliver (CTD)? But can CDT change in 30-90 days?
  2. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Oops. I should have stayed short for a profit. Strong down trend 4 days in a row. But hey, at least I am not long :) Last time serous buying commenced at around 125-10 125-20 on the ZN. Maybe we are headed there. I think that is about 2.58% to 2.6% on the UST10YR This brings another...
  3. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Interesting: "hese results suggest that dealers buy Treasuries during auction weeks when prices are depressed and then sell these securities sometime later after prices have recovered" "These auction purchases cause dealer positions to deviate from desired levels. While this creates...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I just found this funny statement about the bond market: "The potential for chopatility is high" :)
  5. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Out at 126 18 lost about 1.8% Now do my meeting with the gamblers anonymous group. What a 15 days fiasco.
  6. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Come on baby come to papa
  7. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    When all are going down the long bond has to screw up things and be stubborn. I have my luck shoved up my ass with a donkey dick. Many of you don't need luck but I do......
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Thanks! What is the yield tail? Do you mean the lowest bit accepted?
  9. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Where to now? Stuck in the middle. What do you think about the PPI? There is some inflation. Also the rest of the world is kinda tightening. The $USD is getting way low. Not sure about this QE II thing. How much lower can the rates go?
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Is he still waiting to get back to 113-26? I need cuddling too.
  11. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I am a fucktard. Still short. But not for long. I should have, could have exited with 7 - 10% lost now I am back to -20% and losing faith by the second. :(
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    Probability of success due to chance alone?

    Is this similar to this problem? I play a coin tossing game all summer. I have made over 100 calls and my P&L is positive. I ask myself, am I lucky or good? I believe that in the above case calculating if the coin is a fair coin with some degree of certainty (let's say 95%) should...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    According to this about the 10 year action: http://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2010/A_20101007_2.pdf Noncompetitive Closing Time 12:00 Noon ET Competitive Closing Time 1:00 p.m. ET Is there advantage to know the Noncompetitive bid at 12:00 ET? When do the...
  14. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Another 15 ZN ticks down and I am home free!
  15. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    It is not diving! Hmmm.... Double f#%£¥k.
  16. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Wait for it.Wait for it....
  17. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I like it like that.
  18. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Can you help understand few things? If the yen is going up how is that related to the ZN? The japanies will want to sell or buy treasuries? And why? How about the Chinese? If QE II comes short of the expectations the market will go down will ZN go down too?
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    News Anchor Cracks Up At Dikshit

    http://www.break.com/index/news-anchor-cracks-up-at-dikshit Can you believe this guy?
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