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Agreed, it's going down. Look at the volume. Distributed. Capital intense business. Moving product with interest rates at generational lows and notes exceeding the life of the collateral? A chronically weak dollar benefits a lot of multi-nationals. What proportion of Ford's revenue is...

And your point? It would appear Smucker is confident they can pass on input costs and preserve their profit margins. The ability to do it repeatedly would be inelastic demand. A franchise.

Crude oil & VLCCF although correlated, are mutually exclusive. Commodity vs equity. IF memory serves me, VLCCF's fleet is all of (5) aged tankers. Emphasis on aged. Like fine wine. The equity is at the top of a channel.

Gold standard was abandoned in August 1971 with Nixon's reneging on the 1944 Bretton Woods. Long before Greenspan. In fact, long before Volcker. Probably long before you. But, you and I are in agreement "A" gold standard would be a good idea.

Yep, it pierced the 50 day EMA. So? When you use conventional indicators, you get conventional results. Under the bell of a bell curve. The land of mediocrity. As you can see, prior breaks have been ultimately inconsequential. The divergence of a default RSI says a little. A...

The stock is in a base. Could be for years. Above $5, it's worthy of a position. Above $17, that's the ticket.

Good post, particularly the comment about position size (R multiples). Buffett's game of choice though is bridge.

Actually. I'd suggest your average Joe Sixpack has about $5,000 liquid and some equity in his home (if any). He's thinks he's going to retire.

You're welcome. Perhaps the essence of my point may have been missed. Specialist margin debt isn't dilvulged. Their short activity is divulged with a two week delay. Too late to be of any use. Part of the rig. A specialist would lever in accumulation mode. To acquire inventory. In...

Margin debt reflects Joe Sixpack 2 to 1 (4 to 1 for a smaller segment). 70% of transaction volume is insitutional . On the surface, unlevered. I don't know about Nasdaq market makers or ECN's but an NYSE specialist can lever 20 to 1 (when he so chooses) under Regs T or U. Now...

Considering the S&P 500 as thee market, and considering SPY as a proxy. dividing the cubes by SPY. yields a relative strength. A synthetic "price". It neutralizes the influence of thee market thus revealing pure price movement (up or down). One minor flaw is losing HL range. You're...

Not necessarily. QE-2 is not popular with the population due to inflation (food and gas prices) as the value of their homes dwindling. Politics does play a role. The parlor trick known as QE-3 IF implemented, will probably be just in time for the 2012 elections (with the public clamoring...

Maybe he should have put on some Nikes, drank some Kool-Aid, and lied on a bunkbed. That's lied in the context of a prone position rather than a falsehood.

Agreed. SPY's six month Bollinger width is tight as a young virgin. ATR isn't quite as tight, that was Feb 18th, but the measure uses range rather than close and it is narrow. Needs to break above $136.84. Not likely. VIX is inconsequential. NASDAQ's A/D flpped two days ago...

Bugs at the porchlight. At the risk of coming across as Moses, greed is the denial of risk. With shares being brand new, in the clearing process, I would imagine it takes time to hypothicate shares in order to be borrowed. Given the type of brokerage the OP probably deals with, I...

MGM? Yeah it sure was in 2007. My calendar tells me it's 2011. Lots of volume down there in the cellar. Makes some feel comfy. Can Kirk Kerkorian dress himself?

IF you look at the above post, the word "bearish" doesn't appear anywhere. I did use both double top and............neckline. Yeah, I guess that would be..........eh................eh.............a pattern, eh? Presently there's resistance from $87 to $99. 12 whole points. Most of...

I don't know about legal implications, but you'll forgo all the Social Security/Self Employment tax you've paid in for decades as an adult. That can be a princely sum.

A base Miguel? What you have is a year of sideways movement, in the basement. IF it's a base, multiply width x height and add to a breakout. You don't even get 15. Cash on hand? That would suggest no where to put it in their core business. A good business model is lean on cash...

Earnings? The 4x a year catalyst and propoganda to move paper. There's NO precision to earnings. Hinges upon 1. What's counted. 2. What's not counted. 3 How what's counted is counted. Toss in the inventory posture of a specialist, and stir. Most of the selling is done...