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You might find ideas relevant to your question in the following thread: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=33654

Hmmmm ... interesting thought. Maybe Zillow should add property for sale to their site.

In regard to the question you asked, what does your system tell you to do?

Most impressive

The loss of my wife or our children.

Personal savings is similar in nature to a company's income statement. It tells us whether Americans -- as a group -- had a profit or loss for a given quarter based on their cash activity. During Q2 2005, Q3 2005 and Q4 2005 we had "net losses" as reported by the Department of Commerce, which is...

This topic reminds me of wisdom offered by a friend: Statistics are like a bikini. What they reveal is interesting; what they hide is vital.

They show the accumulation of wealth, which reflects both appreciation and personal savings. Almost certainly, however, they do not reflect savings only.

The author highlighted a $3.3 trillion jump in financial assets, then used that number to conclude Americans are thrifty savers. The statistics are not sufficiently detailed to support his conclusion. In fact, $3.3 trillion equals over 1/3 of disposable personal income, so it's probably a safe...

The cited statistics don't separate inflows from appreciation. As a rough measure of the latter, the S&P 500 increased about 10% from Q3 2004 to Q3 2005. This is about the same as the reported change in financial assets.

Foolish choices are inevitable. How we cope with them might be the more important consideration.

Your suggestion is she take a job that she doesn't want in a city where she doesn't want to live? I assume this is because you believe it will eventually lead her to where she wants to be.

Alas, many wish to have such data, including myself. 2006 might reflect performance in 2004-2005. It's after 2006 that price action may get dicey again. FWIW.

Do you have sufficient data to test your system against 1968-1982? That period might represent what we'll see during the next ten years.

If the market is not acting the way you expect, what should you do?

If I may ask, what assumption are you making for slippage? At first glance it looks high.

I don't disagree with your advice; there is a difference of opinion, though, about the train's direction.

1. 95% 2. 5% 3. My personal experience has resulted in less reliance on intuition and more on properly tested systems. Intuitive-based trading works well for many people, but it doesn't for me.

The U.S. equities market does have an upward bias over very long time frames. It is so slight, however, that I wonder whether it has any practical value for traders.

The market swung to an oversold position on Friday. My system is sending buy signals now -- not sell signals -- which tells me the odds favor long positions.