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  1. M

    Recover a cash secured trade that went south - TNA

    what's your macro view? this is my personal opinion, I think the market is going to be lousy over the summer so small caps are going to be monkey hammer, this thing is going down three times as fast as the index its based on. I would just cash out now and buy something that's more defensive or...
  2. M

    SPY

    I'll take the other side of that trade
  3. M

    In need of a black swan event

    insurance is for middle class drones...I go all in like Jesse L. ...go big or go home...
  4. M

    In need of a black swan event

    the problem is it doesn't move the market as much in amplitude or duration.
  5. M

    In need of a black swan event

    Because greed dictate me to want to prepare to benefit from other's misery.
  6. M

    In need of a black swan event

    if they made it easy to read then we'll know exactly that they have no idea what's coming.
  7. M

    In need of a black swan event

    just like in december before magic happen?...probably need a few percent hike...but than the US have to pay more interest on the treasuries(12 trillion?)....probably not going to happen.
  8. M

    In need of a black swan event

    was flat in the morning except for a small position in GLD...but did caught the rebound for a 4 point on the spy tho.
  9. M

    In need of a black swan event

    Things to ponder that can break the US market. - Subprime mess? nope not relevant - Illogical valuation? nope - Fraud? nope - Student loans? probably not - Oil price? nope not so far - CDO? nope - FED's balance sheet? nope(yellen said no selling). - Auto loans? nope too small on the bank balance...
  10. M

    Here is a strategy that beats the S&P

    I trade that on the daily looking at weekly range and mean reversion. it does good unless the market are in extreme situation. intraday I trade a variation of that looking at shorter time frame.
  11. M

    Here is a strategy that beats the S&P

    hmm sounds like my absolute/true range trading strategy.
  12. M

    Made $1.15 million in 18 months, lost $1 million in 12 months, will I ever be good at trading?

    you sir are at the bottom of the sentiment cycle. I would say you are between panic and capitulation but fear not if you survive you'll climb the hill again. many of us have been there and for many cycles. you can survive this, just adapt your trading to the environment.
  13. M

    Took out a loan to transition to full-time trading. 24 years old.

    yoda thinks you are doing some revenge trade = bad you need someone to teach you some technical for intraday trading = good consider Macro while trading...market up dont short singles...market down dont go long singles... STOP now until you get a better grip of the above....
  14. M

    Miserable trading market

    volatile market = short term gain, short term trading... non-volatile market = watch the trend buy and hold or short and hold... either way makes money...
  15. M

    Best hedge against market drop

    use a strangle for a black swan event...other than that it cost way too much to hedge unless you keep rolling out your hedge so not to lose too much premium
  16. M

    Critique this position sizing method

    trade for a few years to get good stats on your ratio then apply kelly for optimum growth. Always adjust the ratio as you gather more data thru your trading. a trader starting out using kelly is ridonkculous! and probably a lot of wishful thinking.
  17. M

    Viability of Protective Puts

    you're not thinking correctly. why would you protect the downside when you can sell now and take the full profit? are you hoping that it's going higher? or are you scared that its going lower? if you think its going higher why buy a put? waste of money. if you think its going lower sell...
  18. M

    Managing Credit Spreads in Optionshouse

    if you want to use a stop order in OH just create a trigger order.
  19. M

    Need to be a great stock trader before you trade options ?

    this in my experience is absolutely true, if you dont know how to trade the underlining you will be ruin trading options. losses will be magnified with options in terms of % invested.
  20. M

    Discretionary Trading by Tiras

    hmmm the latest trade is not moving in your favor have you gotten out?
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