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While its almost far-fetched, in the back of my mind I have had a niggling suspicion that something like this might happen. Massive run-up in RE, people pulling equity out of their homes to buy useless junk (ipods, $1000 armchairs from frontgate, etc...) and flippers leveraging themselves to...

Back around the turn from the 70's to the 80's the joke was to have a luxury automobile that looked like a junker on the outside and was fine corinthian leather, wood paneling, etc... on the inside so you could park it on the street s of NYC. Is that coming back in vogue?

This too, is my fear. I think that there is a very strong attempt by the central bankers to avoid this fate by inflating the economy, and attempting to get both short and long term interest rates higher to allow room to ease if necessary. The price inflation in real goods however (those...

Nope... no american historians who I like as much... figured we read the same guy. Still intrigued by that dedication, however. Where is harrytrader when you need him?

Ditto. Agreed. Quoting myself to save bandwidth. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=719592#post719592

in 6-9 month cycles.

I'm with U on that. Just need to make sure that the Chinese Gvt. will play fair and let us get our $$ out!

I find value in poor opinions too. If you're not well connected on the street, ET serves a need for a sounding board. Much like how I used to call up my counterparts and shoot the crap about their views, etc. While 95% of it was garbage, it did sum into an overall view on the market...

Last time I checked it was the short fat guys with the billions who ultimately got the hotties.

Real estate is not a fundamentally bad investment. Its not much different than any other investment except for the liquidity issues and lack of standardization of improved lots. But just like any trade you would enter into, what's your risk and what's your reward? Downside risk estimated to...

Why do people believe that the housing market is going up forever & hear only things they want to hear? Thanks for the compliment by the way... I specialize in smart-ass responses to not so smart questions. :p

oops, sorry, flashback. I thought we were back in 1999 discussing the dot coms.

The internet has changed everything. The old business cycle does not hold. Its not about profits - its about eyeballs. This time, its different.

Golden Snacks has been resting on its reputation for 20 years. Once they stopped being a true partnership, it just became another merril.

Sure, oil can hit $100. But what will be the value of the dollar buying the $100 oil? About 2.6 Eur/USD assuming $50 oil at 1.30 Eur/USD. (I think the $5-7 extra is a risk premium currently) Do YOU see the euro going to 2.6? I'm short USD but I'll be long out of my structural play before...

I have been watching this market and have come to the same conclusion as I did during the dot-com run-up. Right idea, wrong timing. There are significant structural reasons for the real estate market boom. 1) Low long-term real interest rates (and getting lower, if inflation rises); 2)...

my name and my degree. not too original, I'm afraid, but I do try to be consistent. it also helps to eliminate remembering too many different aliases on the net. don't be too impressed. that degree and 2.99 buys you a 2.99 cup of java at starbuck's.

I also did south beach for five years. It was great when I got there - you could go rollerblading on lincoln road, the club scene was incredible, and there was a very open attitude down there with tremendous numbers of europeans, gays, models, and boho types. You could get an average 1br...

how much 4 the service? No price on the website. I doubt it is free.

Well, the other day ALTI sure got my attention... now am tracking many of those stocks mentioned in an earlier post but even with a hard science background (inorganic chem), I am not sure how to get my hands around this stuff. May just wimp out and buy a fund so I can forget about it and not...