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    Crude at $65 will signal market callapse

    Ummm.... normally you would be right. Except for the fact that this run up in oil is 'conveniently' occuring at a point when strong deflationary influences appeared in our economy. Hence, the whole bond yield 'conundrum'. What's the best way you know to incite inflation? Raise oil prices...
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    The Euro, Now.

    Central banks can print money to FX in interventions. Did you ever think about that? And where do those bought USD go? Right into treasuries. Everyone is acting like $1.50 EUR/USD is the end of the world. WHY? So oil, Louis Vuttion bags, and BMW's will be more expensive. Buy a new more...
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    the EU mess

    Agree. Maybe once upon a time we were a "melting pot" type culture. But now we have forsaken most of our history ( & knowledge of that history) and the multiculturalism paradigm gives us 'separate but equal' and everyone goes off to do their own thing.
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    Does ARM and I/O mortgages force the fed to keep interest rates low?

    Nope... I would argue that the fed is facing one of its greatest problems in years - the inability of yields to rise. Normally fed raises rates, arm rates rise, long rates rise, housing markets cool off, speculator money transfers from housing and equities into bonds, and that tempers...
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    Crude at $65 will signal market callapse

    Bond market is right, just a bit early. Bond Bull market must follow equity bull market, to allow for efficient transfer of wealth between generations. Therefore, before, there must be bond bear market. You long bonds still? House of Saud assists House of Bush. Larger factors going on...
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    the EU mess

    Well, an 11% trending move in 3 months is certainly a welcome trading opportunity! Just because the french didn't ratify doesn't mean that this whole process is out. Some tweaks, and 2 years or so, and it could all go through. However, EUR/USD at 1.20 does look a heck of a lot better for...
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    Open Borders - The Final Solution

    In all fairness, NJ needs to be one of the highest wage states to support its tax structure and its outrageous auto insurance rates. $3000 a year for basic auto? In NJ it is a real possibility.
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    The US Labor Force: One Foot in the Third World

    Tongue in cheek, but there is a point in there. When in doubt... start a war.
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    The US Labor Force: One Foot in the Third World

    Check out the unbelievable number of home schooled children in the US. That stuff is just off the radar, so you don't hear much about it. But it is there. Unfortunately, I don't think that there is much science education going on with those types of schooling.
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    Gold Spot Price 12/31/05

    Considering the streettracks GLD product only started trading at gold spot $394, I hardly think a $50 run up during the dollar's decline was particularly significant. Once upon a time, when I knew such things, I seem to recall that the producer price of Gold from the big mining concerns...
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    Toyota chief fears GM, Ford demise

    1. IF GM and Ford can no longer produce quality products, then, unavoidably, they are relics and must pass. THAT will provide a good wake-up call to the american public about what is happening to the job situation in the USA. 2. GM and Ford corporate culture have been deficient for years...
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    Gold Spot Price 12/31/05

    $400. Without a sea-change in global markets and the USD, it remains a sleeping currency, waiting to see if it will ever be awakened.
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    Absolute safest place to keep money

    Concur. You might be very sorely surprised one day. I would put TIPS in the same hedge category as precious metals - 5% of your portfolio, more if you are paranoid.
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    Let's hear your explanation of the "conundrum"

    The current conundrum in the fed's policy is based upon underlying deflationary influences to the dollar and US economy. The fed, controlling interest rates and money supply, manages inflation. A little is good, a lot is generally bad. However, if the economy goes into deflation, the fed...
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    Investment Ideas for Traders

    Section 8 I understand is quite profitable. However, in any dealings wth the gub'ner, you do always run the risk of falling afoul of some obscure rule and ending up in court or worse.
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    Running Out of Bubbles

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    In the Meantime.

    even better, get a job trading options or assisting (non back office) so that you can learn at someone ELSE's expense. Since you don't care if you get canned, stay only as long as you need to to figure out what's up.
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    Opinions/Info on TST

    Anyone have any opinions or information on TST (Telestone Technologies), newly listed on AMEX? Company webpage says it is a chinese telecom supplier which will be involved in 3G networks in china. It is one of the suppliers to China Unicom and China Mobile. Pilot sale of $100K equipment to...
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    NYT - Paul Krugman - 1928 and the Market Crash

    More economic science fiction. More likely than a global economic implosion (which, by the way, the US & China would probably weather just fine but would cause massive disruption in the EC & Japan) is going to be a long period of stagnating yields in equities, bonds and cash markets...
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