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  1. I

    A 20yr old futures trader needs help with trade management

    There was a post here at one time making then point that one should be conservative while young and take more chances at older age. I agree. So, use you $ and very conservatively use the next 5 years to get the best education you can.
  2. I

    Delta Analysis

    Oops wrong thread. I meant to post this here: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=2995517#post2995517
  3. I

    Coming back to optios. Need safer trades.

    I found this: So gamma scalping is just a standard delta neutral long vol play for which you pay your theta decay? Here is a more general method that enables you to scalp volga as well as gamma. Dynamically hedge your net position such that: 1. You are delta-neutral. 2. You are...
  4. I

    Delta Analysis

    I found this: So gamma scalping is just a standard delta neutral long vol play for which you pay your theta decay? Here is a more general method that enables you to scalp volga as well as gamma. Dynamically hedge your net position such that: 1. You are delta-neutral. 2. You are...
  5. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    At the 5 days VWAP. Entering tough zone for short term long. I would take profit here. 125-30ish
  6. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Good call! Take this shorts: <img src="http://farm2.static.flickr.com/1153/797211157_39ebf2e39f_o.gif" />
  7. I

    Meanwhile china marches on...

    China http://www.asiaportal.info/Collection/InFocus/INFOCUS2009/INFOCUS2009WEEK12/index/66e8ae616967b7e5ff95a30ef5e00763-factory_girl.jpg meanwhile in the US http://www.flickr.com/photos/gtarded/2065093311/
  8. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    <img src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:dZEfvmGX7Vjn4M:" />
  9. I

    Long strange/straddle on a high volatility stock?

    Doltie: “Knock Knock” Trader: “Who's there...” Doltie: “Gamma Scalping” Trader: “Gamma Scalping Who?” Doltie: “Gamma Scalping Doesn't Work Anymore...blah blah, ha ha” Trader: "Then reverse Gamma Scalping will work...blah blah, ha ha" Doltie: "Damn" P.S. I...
  10. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Very nice read! I vote for PIMCO. Didn't they get out of the treasury biz a while ago? This explains why.
  11. I

    always end up where I started

    Take a load of this: <object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/QKnJTj-yliI?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed...
  12. I

    always end up where I started

    Yep! I am so tired of RN being correct. Where is the fun in that? BTW: Atychiphobia-Fear Of Failure Fear Of Failure Signs And Symptoms: Atychiphobia, as with all phobias, is an extreme, irrational fear. Phobias, generally, keep us from enjoying some aspects of life. The fear of...
  13. I

    Does Charity Really "help" anyone?

    This guy has some cool data: Watch from 1:50 till about 2:50: http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/eng/david_mccandless_the_beauty_of_data_visualization.html
  14. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal printed an influential article about the Federal Reserve’s plan for additional quantitative easing. “The central bank is likely to unveil a program of U.S. Treasury bond purchases worth a few hundred billion dollars over several months, a measured...
  15. I

    Would you switch?

    No switch 1/3 x 1/2 = 1/6 you have to be right in both of your choices Switch 2/3 x 1/2 = 2/6 yor are saying screw the first choce, let me switch, this replaces the probability of the first step to the opposite of the 1/3 which is 2/3, you still have to be correct on the second choice...
  16. I

    Would you switch?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
  17. I

    Would you switch?

    Then switch 1choice was 1 out of 3 Your 2choice is only 1out of 2
  18. I

    Would you switch?

    Did the person who open the door had prior knowledge of where the winer was?
  19. I

    Is German quality real?

    I have German car and have no problems what so ever. The only problem is that the dealership is trying to milk me for small things. Guess how much they wanted to put a new battery in. Insane, like 4-5 times the cost of a new battery. I ask why? they told me it is tough to reset the computer? Are...
  20. I

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    The ZT went wild today! Almost 3 ticks range!
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