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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    I use TOS and thinkscript. The programmers there will even help you write the script. You can also take existing scripts and copy and paste what you need out of there to write your own. One thing that is very impressive that is my original script was written way back in 2008 or so and...
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes, sounds familiar. The idea there of course is you are trying to use ACD to partial out real strength and weakness from that of the overall market. When the market is strong, all strong stocks look the same. But stocks making and confirming A downs don't. If the market keeps going...
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    ALL ACD lines are automated and derived "before" the fact. They are not drawn as support or resistance lines "after" the fact.
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes, I call this traffic. One needs to avoid traffic which is trading stuff that everyone else is trading and watching. Traffic creates unnecessary adverse moves that not only stop you out but create noise that makes it much harder to ascertain the signal. Markets which are being ignored or...
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    “The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the person of inferior emotional balance, or the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.” “Speculation is a hard and trying business, and a speculator...
  6. M

    The ACD Method

    You should NEVER EVER take heat on a trade using the ACD methodology or any other. The entire purpose of trading is the antithesis of this. A market practitioner's skill is judged by his/her ability to extract gain from the market with the least units of risk. There were ample...
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    So when I talk about some product looking "good" or we are currently in a risk on or risk off environment, that does not mean go to town and throw all the ACD rules out the window. It means look for your spots to get into the trade. We have daily levels, weekly levels, monthly levels and...
  8. M

    The ACD Method

    Well, just to clarify, these calls are meant to be taken using ACD protocol. I'm attaching the monthly levels of GBP/JPY and you can see there is no heat on any of the shorts and that the GBP/JPY performed far better then the ES short. Sept and Nov you had textbook perfect wicks to sell into...
  9. M

    The ACD Method

    http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/the-acd-method.170318/page-1046#post-4197715 http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/the-acd-method.170318/page-1039#post-4185028 http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index.php?threads/the-acd-method.170318/page-1036#post-4182459 GBP/JPY.....
  10. M

    The ACD Method

    I think there is some good value in Brazil. The currency move is not sustainable i.e the BRL is undervalued. Ten year govies are paying 16% yields which equates to 6% in real rates which is 3 times higher then our treasuries. Buying the bonds gives you a decent real return plus the...
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    Ugh......good old CNBC. Yeah this trade just got a lot messier. God that CNBC reporter is such a drama queen. "What if it gets colder in Chicago?" LOL. Chicago's avg Feb temps get into the single digits and teens. Of course it's going to get colder. LOL.
  12. M

    The ACD Method

    Equities not that far from all time high....
  13. M

    USO - time to go long oil

    Bone, I'm sure you know this all too well, but those who can't trade usually find it far easier to just try to pick tops and bottoms. The market has a way of removing those individuals from this game.
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    This squeeze was long overdue. All it took was the first cold weather spell to clear out the shorts. This was probably the smoothest product I had on my spreadsheet for the last 12 months. I actually got a long vol signal right on the low in price on natty that is probably up 5x by now...
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    Setting up for a nice short. :)
  16. M

    Minimum wage, or Living wage

    They are young Nitro.
  17. M

    Three Sources of Edge

    There are people on this forum that think stops are an edge. And by people, I mean like 90% of ET. :)
  18. M

    Three Sources of Edge

    Here is what I believe. And this is based on a very limited 17 year data set that includes over 1000 traders I have traded with over the years so keep that in mind. Most guys start out well enough, doing research, reading books, asking questions, trying learning a programing language or two...
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    Never too late. Just buy the pullbacks. There have been about 200 of them. :)
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