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  1. M

    Analist Ratings

    Get yerself a Bloomberg and/or Reuters terminal...
  2. M

    us trade gap widens; surely a plus for the us economy?

    No, it's not a plus as it implies that global imbalances that existed prior to the crisis (and contributed to it) remain. That, in turn, means that the issues of US budget deficit and govt debt won't be going away in a hurry.
  3. M

    On the Effectiveness of Debt Brakes: The Swiss Experience

    Well, it certainly has worked out quite well for the Swiss and the Scandies (Sweden and Norway use different mechanisms, but it's the same idea).
  4. M

    USA house hold survey index

    There's no such thing as a "household survey index". Household survey and establishment survey are the two broad categories used by the BLS for their monthly publications of labor statistics. If you go to the BLS website here (http://www.bls.gov/bls/proghome.htm#employment), you'll find the...
  5. M

    Recommend 'Time Series Analysis for Dummies'?

    My apologies... Didn't see that. I humbly second your recommendation.
  6. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Fine, truce... Now do you want me to respond to this or do you want to have the last word?
  7. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    How does it personalize anything? I don't get that... Moreover, as I have said already, I have shown the error in your argument, a number of times and in a variety of ways. At any rate, this is getting pointless. If I have managed to offend you personally somehow, pls accept my...
  8. M

    Recommend 'Time Series Analysis for Dummies'?

    There's only one good book on this subject and it's the bible of the field :). http://www.amazon.com/Time-Analysis-James-Douglas-Hamilton/dp/0691042896
  9. M

    The US is bankrupt

    Stop the nonsense, please... World derivatives are not "worth $600tn". Their notional value is $600tn. If you don't know the difference between NPV and notional, you're not fit to comment.
  10. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Nobody asked me. I voiced an opinion, which is what you're doing. If you don't want to have this discussion, that's fine with me. [B] You're right, in that I have no direct way to disprove your theory. However, "not demonstrably false" and "true" are two very different concepts. If you...
  11. M

    IB and AUD 30 D Interbank Cash Rate

    I don't know about IB, but their exch ticker is IB and that's how they're known in BBG (Reuters is YIB, I think). Have you tried "IB"? Have you seen this also? http://www.sfe.com.au/content/aboutsfe/brochures/013_cashrate.pdf
  12. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    What do you mean "too short a base period" for Europe and US? When you made a claim that money printing implies inflation I don't recall you mentioning any lags or base periods. Would you care to refine your hypothesis then? What is the "base period" (or lag) parameter needed for observed...
  13. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    First of all, you clearly have a problem with logic. When did I ever say anything about you personally? I said that your reasoning in the posts you made was of poor quality. That has nothing to do with you as a person, unless you decide to get all defensive and take it personally, but that's...
  14. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Fantastic commentary here... Can you show me some evidence that corroborates this view or is this just anecdotal? As to morals, when did I ever say anything about morals, work ethic or any other imponderables of that sort? I have no view on those things (not one I would want to discuss here...
  15. M

    What website has charts of the past 10 years of Treasury yield?

    What is the second link? The Fed H.15 historical data gives you the official daily closes of 3m and 30y constant maturity nominal treasury bond yields (in an XLS file, if you wish), since 1977 and 1982 respectively. What else does your heart desire?
  16. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Yep, sure am... They (the American people, that is) are also living longer (life expectancy at birth was 68.2 in 1950 vs 76.7 in 1998) and are growing taller (although not as fast as they were and not as fast as people in some countries in Europe, such as Netherlands and the Scandies). Reason...
  17. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Huh? This is "real" output, measured in the same 2005 dollars throughout. Moreover, it's value added that's been created and purchased, so how can there be less or more of it?
  18. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    But that's exactly what you're doing... You're committing the very same basic fallacy. Specifically, Event A occuring at the same time as Event B doesn't imply that Event A caused Event B. Contemporaneity doesn't imply causality (and vice versa). That should be obvious. [B] Excellent...
  19. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Yet again, this actually doesn't demonstrate anything... 74 years between 1838 and 1912: 0.06 74 years between 1912 and 1986: 3.37 As it happens, Titanic sunk in 1912. Should I conclude that the sinking of the Titanic caused higher realized inflation? 'Cause, to paraphrase you, 74 years...
  20. M

    Why is deflation bad?

    Well, I did give an example that demonstrates the flaws, didn't I? Doesn't that count towards an answer?
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