Search results

  1. V

    CL Redux

    Out 8490, +115t
  2. V

    CL Redux

    out 8490
  3. V

    CL Redux

    short 8515
  4. V

    If this was futures trading, does it look like I have a (+) expectancy?

    True story: I played online BJ last month. My balance went from £800 to £1400. I was flat betting £10 per hand and did approx 3000 hands. Does this mean i have an edge? Of course not, I was lucky!!! If i kept on playing, ultimately I would lose, guaranteed.
  5. V

    If this was futures trading, does it look like I have a (+) expectancy?

    Sorry, NoDoji, you need to reread what i wrote. I said you win 2x your bet if it lands on heads, which makes the wager a positive expectation one. It doesn't matter what the wager amount is, whether you increase or decrease after a win or not, it remains positive.
  6. V

    CL Redux

    short 8605
  7. V

    If this was futures trading, does it look like I have a (+) expectancy?

    It would be interesting and may provide evidence of an edge but not necessarily proof. Yes, this is correct.
  8. V

    If this was futures trading, does it look like I have a (+) expectancy?

    I don't see why. Suppose i toss a coin where if heads comes up, i win 2x my bet but lose if tails comes up. A bet with positive expectation. I bet a few times, have a streak of 3 heads (winners) and decide to double my bet next time. I still have a positive expectation bet.
  9. V

    CL Redux

    I take a look at the average daily range including trading outside of RTH as a measure of volatility, specifically where to set targets.
  10. V

    CL Redux

    in retrospect, ok, but need big winners to pay for them losers. the volatility has died a bit in CL, what's the ADR these day, 130 pips or so? Used to be in excess of 200....
  11. V

    CL Redux

    out at 8730, +90t, not great :(
  12. V

    CL Redux

    4 million barrels is 4000 contracts...so can we say the market was wrong by 4000 contracts?
  13. V

    CL Redux

    strongly bullish on the face of it.
  14. V

    CL Redux

    Why both 11 and 1pm?
  15. V

    CL Redux

    long 8640
  16. V

    CL Redux

    cheers for the update
  17. V

    Locked out UBS traders head to the pub

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2012/10/30/uk-ubs-restructure-jobs-idUKBRE89T1EH20121030?type=companyNews Dozens of UBS traders spent their day in the pub rather than at the Swiss bank's London headquarters after they found out that their security passes no longer worked. As more turned up...
  18. V

    Real-time point and figure charting - low cost

    Thanks, will have a look. :D
  19. V

    Real-time point and figure charting - low cost

    I'm trialling v5 of Bulls Eye. How do you connect to Interactive Brokers data feed?
  20. V

    CL Redux

    Shoulda just traded on the forum then, woulda saved some commission :D
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