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cause it's easy money, innit...lol

Value investors buy more as the price falls. Traders buy more as the price rises. Both have advantages and disadvantages.

this professor is probably a shill for the hft people

v few on here have the balls... everyone likes a retracement.

i would trade this by shorting every new low (every low after a retracement). it works because no one else seems to have the balls to do that. i have no interest in retracements.

if I had kept this (short june bund) for a few more days, I would have made a small fortune.

forgot about nfp...hehehe

the yanks think the whole world is the US lol

rofl, there's loads of multisport top athletes!

I like bubbles.you can make a lotta money from them.

sounds a nice earner!

marty schwartz traded equities, equity options, bond futures as well as s&p futures.

don't think equities are highly priced compared to zero interest rates

A sad day.

So what does that have to do with probability?

thought this was thread was supposed to be about probability, apparently it's about behaviour.

You can derive a historical probability of an event x happening in the market from looking at history. However, since the distribution is not stationary i.e. it is not like roulette, your derived probability is subject to error in the future. This is how, for example, Long Term Capital...

With regard to trading, you can say something happened x number of times in the past and then pretend to translate that into a probability of that event happening in the future, but i don't buy it since the markets have a non stationary distribution i.e. the underlying distribution is always...

If u wanna get rich, you have to do this sort of trading, high leverage (to a point, i think 10x is excessive) but only on a trade where you have high conviction. I note though you didn't put in a hard stop, which to me is rather troubling and may indicate gambling issues.

good calls on pound and nikkei. Hope u bet the farm on them!