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To give you an idea of how much things have slowed down in China... From January 27th through February 19th (24 days), there was an average of just over 3000 new cases per day in China. Since then (11 days), there have been 5252 new cases. That's 477 per day. There has been 3300 new cases in...

I was supposed to go to Venice this Wednesday. I cancelled and an going to Norway instead.

I'm waiting 1 or a few days, then "buying" (fake paper trading) call option on S&P. Expiration date in May or June. Or maybe I'll sell a put to take advantage of time decay also? I wouldn't be surprised if stocks were flat this week. Don't think they'll be positive, but don't think huge...

Then if you recognize that the fear is out of proportion to the reality, that should give you an edge.

http://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202003/01/WS5e5b903da31012821727b5d1.html So you think this is a lie?

Not sure it will ever get to that point here. It's already dying down in its epicenter.

I think the slowdown in Wuhan province is a great sign!

Or the virus runs it's course in a few months like it's already showing signs of doing.

They are currently discharging enough patients from temporary hospitals in Wuhan province that they are closing some of the temporary hospitals. I predict things will be back to normal in 1 month.

Vastly oversimplifying.

There are better precursors than that... High corporate debt, low business investment... But it's been like this for over a year. That is why there was speculation of recession mid-2019. But still unemployment remains low, etc. See what happens if unemployment goes up to even 4%. I believe...

All of this panic says to me... SALE!!! Because there is yet to be underlying fundamentals (business cycle) that aren't related to the virus. But I don't buy stocks. I'm not interested at trying to profit from investing/speculating/trading at this point. I'm just here to watch.

I read that new cases in China have already slowed. They peaked in late January. About 1 month after the outbreak started. Perhaps that's a clue of how long it will last elsewhere.

It depends on the particular property in question. You can't make a blanket statement about one being better than the other? Why can't you fix ac? On the first house I flipped, I replaced a motor and transformer with no previous knowledge.

It's impossible to make the returns I make by building with rentals. Not even close.

And still no guarantee that will happen either. 2800 deaths in China out of 1.4 billion.

It's a little too early to say a recession will be caused by supply chain due to this panic and 1 death so far in the USA.

No. Build and sell immediately.

Good thing I'm a spec home builder then!

What is the 5-15% return on? Is this return with buying with mortgage, then renting.