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  1. Z

    Why hammer candle signal works, but shooting star does not?

    You will probably find that your system is very robust in an uptrending market. Why would that be?;)
  2. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    My body is definitely full of that 'this is really never going down again, ever, ever'-feeling, so I’m going to cancel shorts forever etc.. Just recklessly buy calls etc .. This could have an impact on the global indices. (they need shorts so have to give them some bait sometimes):rolleyes: You...
  3. Z

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Btw just curious, the first post on this thread is from @makloda. Are you a billionaire or at least a millionaire now (liquid assets only)?
  4. Z

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    I thought this might be a song for you guys, but then with the opposite lyrics: “What goes down, must go up”
  5. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Yeah, he's not a bad guy. I actually always get the impression that he's someone who has gone short too often, lost because of it, and then became bitter and melancholic, only to start advocating the opposite. I kind of resonate with that a little bit myself: it definitely feels like this will...
  6. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    In a way, he is more right then twice a day And he did create a meme. Didn’t Cramer said something about a V a few days ago?
  7. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    lol, in your writings you sound a bit like V-man now, but than the flat version.
  8. Z

    Down to about $90k, where would you park it if your trading skills were trash?

    Funny, had the exact same experience with the minidisc. It did shaped my experiences a bit by never diving/investing too soon in ‘new’ tools or hypes, but go for the more established and mainstream ones.
  9. Z

    Market crash? The sky is falling?

    Be careful, dangerous quotes at intermediate tops.
  10. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Bizar movement
  11. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Habits are difficult to change. What could an interesting little project is to post the opposite of your actual trades and see what happens. But now I posted this you have to deny doing it, so we will never know :sneaky:
  12. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    It is log, just look at the axis. Look for fun at the MSFT monthly chart (log), 2013-2022 is just 1 straight line. To summarize, I expect it to go up, and if it doesn't we go down. Perhaps some sideways. The ranges will be tested for a perfect bounce, which could also be an overshoot or an...
  13. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Fwiw, my expectations/brainfarts for this week, ending lower in friday. Either by path 1 by going up some, then more down. Or we go down first, and then sideways into friday. Positioned more for the second scenario, but path 1 is also fine. Huge up is ouch.
  14. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    It is funny, I copied/plotted your scenario in here, and while it feels like a big bear, she becomes just cute when you look at the monthly chart for perspective:
  15. Z

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    It almost feels that you guys (regular posters here) want to take 'revenge' for all the pumping and chilling you fell for in your earlier encounters with the market. Psychological fullfilling, not account filling. GL
  16. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    But…but…there was someone trying to wise-ass that is could be better to normalize for ranges :rolleyes::thumbsup:
  17. Z

    GBA PRESENTS- the public games

    Nah, peak housing/short xhb = magic pencil call
  18. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Congrats, difficult to believe you can 'make it' in a day vs year earn. I came close, you beat me :thumbsup: Was extremely lucky on the entry though, had to enter during a teams meeting. Cheers!
  19. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Same here, best day in a while.. it will be an ipa triple congrats:strong:
  20. Z

    FYI: Historically the Next Two Months are Down

    It was meant when you said that not a single august month (in past 23y) retraced at least 40%. Since you base it on a monthly-range, I think you should incorparate something on the range of a particular month. I (assume!) that shorter monthly ranges have a higher probability of seeing larger...
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