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I don't how many of you guys are watching this show, but you should. Surprisingly it's produced by Bill Maher. I've never been a fan of Maher despite watching his show for the last decade. But I will give him credit, this show is solid. The last episode they did was on China and their real...

On pace for close to 50 million on opening weekend. If that's a bomb, I should have gone into movie making. LOL. http://www.deadline.com/2013/05/the-great-gatsby-overperforms-for-3-250-late-shows-breaking-record-for-female-driven-films/ However, to bring this back full circle, I think...

http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/03/keeping-up-not-getting-ahead/?hp Good read.

Wow, you don't read context well do you? I never said I thought it was good. It's what Keynesians like you have been doing now for 75 years. Keynesians are like bad traders, they try to make their theories work, and when they fail, time for war. War gets the debt machine going and this...

Dude, the middle class was dead when Clinton signed NAFTA. Not sure what middle class you are speaking about.

There are actually some interesting parallels with this outstanding novel, F. Scott Fitzgerald's best work. The 1920's was a roaring decade of opulent wealth. Coincidentally with the market at record highs and the wealth of the top 1% now at stratospheric levels it mimics many of the...

Since no one else is commenting on this. Let me make a comment. If you look on this chart in the 90's, during the greatest bull run in history, the net margin ranged between zero and 50 billion. It's now over 3 times that! Amazing. OK, as you were.

He only makes calls after the fact. He is kind of notorious for that. He will tell you about what any stock did in the past. He has been doing that for 10 years strong with all of his ET alias's.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-02/wti-brent-16-month-low-pits-goldman-against-bofa.html

Yikes! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-02/s-t-r-e-t-c-h-e-d

This is patently false and world war two proved that. Destruction does create jobs. When we bombed Germany and Japan (i.e their factories, their technology, their roads) we went to full employment. One, we destroyed our competition which created the middle class in this country for the next...

You still daytrading penny stocks? Which account are you on now? I know you left the board after your last blowout. I guess you moved on to horses. LOL. At least you'll lose your money a lot slower there. Good luck bud.

Yes. LOL. As it pertains to conditional probability. Read the posts before that. LOL. Conversations flow on a message board, posts are not written in isolation. If you know how to use conditional probability to calculate odds on a single horse, I'm all ears. Walk me through the math...

I never said they did. I was responding to a question about conditional probability by the OP. He wanted to know what trading and horse betting had in common and it was conditional odds. I used various examples to demonstrate how one could weigh the odds of the various combinations. NOT...

Speaking of investor sentiment, I just discovered this at TD Ameritrade. https://imx.tdameritrade.com/IMX/index.jsp# It tracks the holdings of all their clients and creates an index so you can see how long they are getting. https://www.tdameritrade.com/research/imx.page

I hate to break this to you, but everything you suggest, has already been done in Europe and they are worse off then we are. Infrastructure is not going to do squat if there is not a real economy working behind it. Why don't you Keynesians understand that? It's YOUR theories that are...

Not true. Only if you are trading commission free. The vig is what kills most traders. All scratch trades are losers. You need to change your outcomes. W is a win, L is a loss, B is breakeven and X is your commish. 1) L+X negative outcome from losing trade 2) B+X negative...

If you know the variance you can predict the distribution of prices with corresponding probabilities.

That's false. Very few handicappers bet on horses to win. They bet on horses to place or show.