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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    At the QTR A down in ES. Moment of truth.
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    He shut that fund down 2 years ago.
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    Actually, these spikes are pretty common. Same thing happened last year. Seasonal spreads do this all the time, although the spike this year is higher then in years past. I've got a lot of options spreads on right now that are leaning long deltas and short vol and a few differential...
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    60 cents...
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    Man this is some crazy shit going on in the energy space right now. Options are distorted all over the place. I have a lot on trying to take advantage of this. Heating oil also breaking out. Next week is going to get crazier! More cold on the way.
  6. M

    The ACD Method

    Wow...50 cents!!!!!! These spreads are blowing out big time. http://tos.mx/Kdu0LH
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    The ISEE was putting out extreme high readings almost every day for two weeks. I just cannot get my mind around how this market continues to bail out the bulls. I mean these call buyers are all in on high beta and yet we still can't tip this market over. Many many pages back on this...
  8. M

    The ACD Method

    King, they crushed vol today. There is just no push in this market. At some point it will crack but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw new highs in a few weeks. Nobody is buying vol.
  9. M

    The ACD Method

    My weekly A down was 1825.
  10. M

    The ACD Method

    Well, there is no "right". It's about helping you see the market more clearly and finding patterns. Once you understand how all the tools work and see how they interact with each other it's like going to eye doctor and finding out you need glasses and once you put them on, the entire world...
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    This GBP/AUD refuses to go down. It's been confirmed this whole time and sure enough, it's the only pair that has stuck out from the crowd. The USD/MXN confirmed for me a few days and is trying to break through the QTR A up. Keep an eye on this one. The peso has been breaking down now...
  12. M

    The ACD Method

    Once the 5 day came off the negative values, the buy was legit. That is what the 5 day is there for. To keep you from catching a falling knife but also to greenlight you to take the fade.
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    It depends on the product. For stocks, I use the ATR from the low to high. For futures it's the 24 hour period.
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    Correct, true opening ranges are products that are actually "opening"for trade, not continuous. Pretty much everything now is continuous.
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    OK, now they are 40 cents! LOL. These spreads are blowing out big time. I imagine some prop firms are getting lit up right now (pun intended).
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    Right CL's storage costs are embedded in the calendar and they are pretty straightforward. Whereas natural gas has a very strong seasonality competent to it and a VERY VERY different spot market. SIV, gas traded $140 today in NY. That's a new record.
  17. M

    The ACD Method

    SIV, there are VAST differences between natty and oil. Oil doesn't have the seasonality that gas does. Gas has a LOT of quirks. You can't simply buy the fly after a spike. April is when gas gets injected into underground storage and March is usually the last peak month of the winter...
  18. M

    The ACD Method

    Here is a chart of the mar/april spread. It's actually 30 cents, not near 40. http://tos.mx/AxCLiL
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    March/April is the "widowmaker". Amazing that spread was trading at par a few weeks ago. And now it's over 38 cents!!!!!!!
  20. M

    The ACD Method

    Feb Natty Gas is trading 43 cents over April. Those calendars are blowing out today!
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