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  1. J

    Whats going on with all these people ready to give up their rights?

    and all shutdowns of constitutional rights have limits. if we allowed govt to do what that wanted without examination because they claim emergency... we would effectively have no constitutional rights vs the government. -- I think there is a very good chance the court would review the...
  2. J

    Whats going on with all these people ready to give up their rights?

    you keep arguing as if your side was that the Court would uphold govt restrictions. but your side was that there is no argument.. .you even said no one would sue. I told you that while I agree the court would probably support the govt.. .the right to shut down a churches was not absolute. the...
  3. J

    "We Don't Have Enough Information To Open The Economy" -- Bill Blain

    without the knowledge of how many people have been exposed or when the cure will come... it will remain a risk at all times. the existence of risk can not be the only reason to stay closed. Ideally we must balance harm caused by being closed with the risk of reopening. for now we can only...
  4. J

    "We Don't Have Enough Information To Open The Economy" -- Bill Blain

    My view is we should be opening it region by region. And, since we probably unnecessarily closed some regions on incomplete data... it might be worth allowing some areas a test opening. We did a universal close on insufficient data. We may not have good data for months. i.e. anti body tests may...
  5. J

    Kung Flu

    Is anyone here not impressed with b1s2 calls at the moment? If we don't get some sort of second wave... your calls were amazing..
  6. J

    Trump Supproters - Defend Trump's Understanding of Tariffs

    Trump is going to need 4 more years to accomplish something really useful. (if he can) China already owns Biden.
  7. J

    Lupus patients are not getting sick from CCP virus

    Sermo Reports Week 3 Results: Globally 17% Point Increase in COVID Treaters Who Have Used Hydroxychloroquine (33%-50%) and Azithromycin (41%-58%) Percentage of New York Physicians Who Have Used Hydroxychloroquine Nearly Doubled, Italian and French Physicians Jumped 30% Points + Over 2 Weeks...
  8. J

    Lupus patients are not getting sick from CCP virus

    I read the south china post article its a really screwed up study. on one hand.. the south china post says... "An uncontrolled study by a research team in Marseille, France, involving 26 patients found 100 per cent viral clearance in nose swabs in six patients treated by a combination of...
  9. J

    CNN Sucks and Fredo Cuomo continues to prove it

    I will defer to your opinion. My wife and I turned off cable in part because whenever her parents were here cable news droned on all day. so I only see Cuomo when someone posts his stuff. I have seen him ask some good followup questions... but that could be those in his ear. maybe he is as...
  10. J

    Trump Supproters - Defend Trump's Understanding of Tariffs

    I don't care what Cavuto thinks. Of course the consumer is likely to pay more when you cut down on supply. That is irrelevant. Are you saying China is not harmed by tariffs? Because I doubt the studies would show that unless the goods were underpriced and there was high inelasticity of demand...
  11. J

    Whats going on with all these people ready to give up their rights?

    really... no one is going to sue? I just typed in the query and this was these are the first returns. I did not read them. I am not vouching for their arguments. Nor am I picking the winner. I am saying the issue is not one sided, no matter how correct you pretend to be. Federal judge...
  12. J

    Trump Supproters - Defend Trump's Understanding of Tariffs

    So how can we have a useful discussion about the impacts with no studies to review ? I would want to know if production had to shift out of China. I would want to know how much prices rose on which products. I would like to see estimates on elasticities of demand in the short run and long run...
  13. J

    Trump Supproters - Defend Trump's Understanding of Tariffs

    I don't know... let's review Basics - With quotas - the seller gets to raise prices as lower supply greets higher prices on the curves until production shifts. Quotas - the country imposing tariffs gets the revenue (govt revenue at least) and production is likely to shift. So now...
  14. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    I have been working on the same concepts... and back when I lived the area ... all those markets down on the ground floors were very dense.... not much room to walk around. Not sure there are as many ground floor markets now.
  15. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    but your study was on data from China... the scientist would have known it was garbage but it was shit like that that went into models Models which have turned out to be dramatically wrong. It was a shaped narrative and it was used to control us. Parents can get away with that trick once or...
  16. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    Feb 11? Yeah... it was studies like that built with suspect data from China which should have come with massive warnings.... in their title.
  17. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    https://www.businessinsider.com/what-is-herd-immunity-coronavirus-covid-19-2020-4 here is the article I referenced.
  18. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    I just read in business insider herd immunity depends on R0. The who apparently had this virus pegged at 2 to 2.5 R0 making causing the estimate for herd immunity to be 50 percent or a bit lower. Now.. with my thesis having been all these estimates have been awful, in part because of China's...
  19. J

    Why New York has 14 times as many coronavirus deaths as California

    regarding herd immunity. 1. I read that some people working in hospitals get sick because of the viral load. 2. Is it possible if we get a small viral load... that we could start building antibodies without really getting sick? If so, I do not think you can rule out that some herd immunity...
  20. J

    Whats going on with all these people ready to give up their rights?

    here is a far more balanced understanding of the situation. now remember my argument is that the question is open to debate... I am not arguing the court would decide in favor of Easter mass...always...
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