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https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/currency-narrative-has-changed-dime The Currency Narrative Has Changed On A Dime BY TYLER DURDEN THURSDAY, DEC 28, 2023 - 03:25 PM Authored by Ven Ram, Bloomberg cross-asset strategist, What could the difference of a couple of quarters make to the overall...

What kind of arb ? You are speculating on the yield curve with that. The next future is just the actual interest rate difference for that time to the spot reference. You cannot make money with that only. But of course interest rates do change all the time. So in the end you are speculating...

Trading Floors Make a Comeback in Japan

APEX is better. Just wait for the next 90% discount code in January probably.

There must be something in your settings. Otherwise these differences are not explainable.

Yes, the Swap is credited to you then. But you need to look at IB website how much is it reduced. It depends on each broker, so Swaps are different everywhere. Just search on their site.

Do not think so it will mean revert. It is like the winner takes it all with the built-in "leverage" through market cap on the SP500. The equal weight must and will underperform in the future too because of that. It is just a matter of time how much it will be behind the true SP500. I would not...

The January Effect: A Comprehensive Historical Review What is the January Effect? The January Effect, a term coined to describe the rise in stock prices typically seen in January, has intrigued market participants for decades. This phenomenon is thought to be influenced by a mix of investor...

2 studies: 800 years and 200 years of trend-following... https://www.cmegroup.com/education/files/trend-following-with-managed-futures-historical-perspectives.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/1404.3274.pdf

idk, what do you mean here ? I wanted to show that with very little overall market leverage there is not enough liquidity for ES, SP500 Futures purchases, when on every new (Alltime-)high (per every new higher tick), 10000 contracts per tick could be bought (as group not for one market player)...

if you backtest you need to know what is the strategy behind and WHY it should WORK. Then you can do the optimization and run the strategy. If you do not know the reasons or have a good guess then the strategy is not sound, so the chances that you just gamble are much higher. So you need to...

If you do not understand why are you doing something then it can be called gambling. But if you have calculated risk and your ex ante calculated probability of success is positive then it is certainly not gambling. But more is required than just an optimized backtest. If one understands why...

When your floating profit gets too huge for you emotionally, that you do not want to risk further, then exit the trade.

If you take some little leverage and then increase on your position on every new high because you are in more gains, then it is like self-running stock index because of the extra liquidity. I mean, the liquidity of the SP500 Future is not large enough for this. Just imagine. If you buy 500...

When there is a current president running to be re-elected then the returns of election years are higher. https://advisor.morganstanley.com/the-ernie-garcia-group/documents/field/e/er/ernie-garcia-group/S%26P%20500%20in%20Presidential%20Election%20years.pdf...

Do not be fooled you can make $25k per anno with only $24k capital. Drawdowns should be much larger. There is no such free lunch you are seeking of.

Better not to buy chinese electronics, like smartphones or notebooks. You never know what they are all tracking even on hardware if that is true with TikTok software, what I believe. I also would like to know what kind of backdoors are in computer hardware made in USA ? Of course they are the...

There are huge drawdown risks selling puts from time to time. There is no such easy consistent strategy you want. You need to put in a lot of work and doing a lot of research and testing to find such an edge. Do not expect free money with options making consistent gains here.

US inflation is under control, is my opinion. We can only speak of estimated falls going larger or less over time. But inflation should come down in 2024 and 2025. So it is only a matter how many rate cuts are in play for 2024 and 2025. That is what is interesting for US stock market and also...