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Sorry if I sound too bossy. Just want to stay on topic. Not jealous, but sorry. There's going to be a severe recession in the US, many will be hurt. And it will affect the rest of the world too. Except perhaps Africa. Good place to invest? :) My motive is simply to understand the...

Of course they are lying. The Fed's number one priority after all is to maintain its credibility. That's even more important than their official mission to have "stable prices and full employment".

First of all, please stay on topic. For those wanting a US vs rest-of-world shouting match, there is chit chat. At least on housing, you are wrong. Sales have already fallen dramatically, shortage has turned into a glut, and prices turned down. Since sales seem to continue falling and...

Pabst, yes, stagflation indeed seems to be the most likely outcome. From Ben's speeches I believe that is what the Fed is aiming for. They want to soften the blow from the bursting asset bubbles. Perhaps they even hope to prevent a recession altogether, but that is impossible. Asset bubbles...

Well, if you study the fundamentals of housing, you will find that it is very likely that house prices will fall quite soon and A LOT. Also that should trigger a recession, since the economy has depended on housing for so much and for a long time.

So, after the housing bubble bursts and real estate values fall by 50%, the typical American family will be almost bankrupt? House value $160k -> $80k. Minus mortgage $95k equals -$15k, i.e. negative equity in home. And of course the poorer 25% of families will be bankrupt a lot earlier...

Nice theory, let's see how it turns out. Just want to add that the reason for low bond yields is the same as for high share & real estate prices: too much money. Just as there's a housing bubble, there is also a stock bubble, bond bubble and a bubble even in some commodities. Instead of...

The latest Bridgewater Daily Observation sounds rather gloomy... http://www.marketwatch.com/news/newsfinder/default.asp?siteid=&property=word&value=bridgewater&doctype=806 Anyone seen the full report?

Oh, that's too much! 4 hrs a day, 4 days a week is more than enough. We need some free time, don't we?

Maybe in theory, but in practice inflation has always been deadly for stocks.

So is "the Fed ends at 5%" already priced in?

Thanks for that mineweb, looks like a useful site. Also on mineweb was mentioned that the Indian CB already sold 32m oz last year. Seems they are rapidly running out of inventory, so no more supplies coming from there either. And: "US government inventories are now very low and that the...

Besides being a perma-bull, most of he seems to be just a salesman. Ever seen his videos there on thestreet.com? Sounds like a guy working for TV shop...

The SLV trust has already gathered 42m ounces of silver in just one week of trading. Since the worldwide inventory is only about 10x that, how long it can take for the price to start rocketing? Just wondering.

Is it important that you can discuss trading with your wife/girlfriend? Does it matter that she understands what you are doing?

I'm not aware that any western central bank has any holdings of silver. Do you have data on this?

Silver ETF already at 32m oz and projected to grow to over 100m. While warehouse stocks only 124m oz. http://www.nymex.com/sil_fut_wareho.aspx Where will all the supply for the ETF come from?

How about a losing streak? Surely you will find one, sooner or later.

A country growing 10% pa. for years has its official interest at half of that and long-term bond yields at 3%. Is it any wonder that loan & money growth is "excessive"? Or rather, totally out of control. How big a bubble do the commies want to build before they let it burst? And when might it...

Well, depends on what you like. There are many nice places here in Europe, low-tax or low-cost, seaside or mountains etc. Just wish you Americans would also look outside the US, which is mostly a rather boring country!