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  1. M

    Buy GM, yes GM

    GM - the first stock in Dow30 to fall below $5.
  2. M

    CDO's and Total Write Offs

    Ok, thanks for the answer. Obviously you have enough equity to be able to weather even a 50% fall in value. This was what I was wondering too. Is it possible, even in some states if not the whole of US, to foreclose on a home and still keep your other assets?
  3. M

    Gold may be on the verge of a major price collapse

    Or perhaps it stops already here. My first attempt to catch this dip: long at 787.
  4. M

    IB new forex spreads

    Well I'm mostly just holding a long-term position in yen. Just a little trading back-and-forth. Since the correlation between yen and the stock market is so strong, being long yen is a good proxy for being short stocks.
  5. M

    CDO's and Total Write Offs

    If the value of your house falls far below your loan amount, are you going to repay or foreclose?
  6. M

    Fannie Mae Cooking The Books

    Junk loan exposure only 6.5 times equity!
  7. M

    What is Merrill hiding?

    "Merrill's selection of Thain was a surprise because the firm had recently indicated to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink that the job was his if he wanted it. CNBC has learned that Fink said he would take the job but only if Merrill did a full accounting of its subprime exposure. At that point, Merrill...
  8. M

    IB new forex spreads

    If you are mostly playing EUR/JPY, would it make sense to change base currency to euros? Only 2% margin for me. :)
  9. M

    Gold may be on the verge of a major price collapse

    I agree with you on the need to eliminate the carry traders and other weak hands. But once that is over, gold should rally hard and long. I am looking for a short pullback (to perhaps 750) like we saw in December 05, and then a strong rally. If you check the COT reports from that time, you will...
  10. M

    FNM - potential fraud

    Don't think it is fraudulent, but thanks for the interesting article.
  11. M

    Futures commissions

    Why are these the best? Do you have personal experience? Are they all about equal, or are there some relevant differences? Are these firms strong enough to survive even the most extreme market conditions (enough capital, high margin requirements.. etc)? Are you implying that you can get a...
  12. M

    Futures commissions

    This is very interesting. I did some calculations with IB's published fees. Assuming exchange fees would be $0.48 by leasing compared to $1.14 without, would result in savings of $680 per 1000 contracts. As IOM memberships at CME lease around $2000/month, about 3000 contracts would be needed to...
  13. M

    Futures commissions

    Osorico, your calculations are exactly correct. I do trade mostly the e-minis on Globex, and IB charges about $2 per contract on average. So I could perhaps reduce my costs up to 20% with some other broker? Which broker(s) might offer me that, and also be as reliable as IB? I would also...
  14. M

    Futures commissions

    Thanks for the spreadsheet. The calculation is not quite that simple, since the rate at IB falls as trading volume increases. But it still shows that leasing could be cheaper. However, I know nothing about leasing a seat. What are the pros and cons? One seat only allows trading at that exchange?
  15. M

    Futures commissions

    Yes I believe I am using the unbundled plan. Rates fall the more I trade.
  16. M

    Futures commissions

    I've been satisfied with IB, but begun to wonder if there might be futures brokers around with cheaper commissions. What kind of commission rates are available nowadays for someone trading on average 100 contracts per day? Would these brokers also be as reliable as IB?
  17. M

    Citi: In Defense of Gary Crittenden

    DENIAL. The author must also believe his house is still worth what he paid for it at the top of the bubble.
  18. M

    Is C a buy here?

    Citi, like most other banks, will die out of wounds from this mortgage crisis. It will have to be bailed out by the taxpayer. Before the bailout don't even think of buying.
  19. M

    PetroChina now valued at $1.03 trillion

    You do? Check again. Only 2.2% of shares are listed in Shanghai, 86% still owned by parent company. The rest must be in the Hong Kong market. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0f6f45a4-8b88-11dc-af4d-0000779fd2ac.html So this trillion dollar market cap is a total fake. If anyone wants to...
  20. M

    PetroChina now valued at $1.03 trillion

    How can you calculate the market cap of a company that has two different share prices?? I don't think you can use either the Shanghai or Hong Kong price alone to value PTR. How big a percentage of PTR shares are trading in Shanghai, and how many in Hong Kong? Either way, the valuation is...
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