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    historical return for the S&P

    what period exactly? 12% over the last 60 years 10% over the last 80 years but what you should be concerned about ... how about the next 10 years?
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    Goldman Says "Diversify By Naked Shorting Volatility"!!

    good to see most people here distrust investing in volatility as an asset class. might be a while before institutional money will lower returns.
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    Opinion of this long term investment strategy

    dude, you shouldn't parrot what you read in the newspapers, but actually look yourself. bonds had pretty bad years in 2003-2006. commodities had a big down year in 2006. and a big plus in 2002 when stocks dropped. real estate had great years in the equity bear market 2001/2002, and a...
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    Opinion of this long term investment strategy

    dude, check out this years performance using etf's: equity (SPY) +5% bonds (IEF) +10% commodities (GSG) +27% real estate (IYR) -19% they all look the same to you? correlations over the last 12 months versus SPY GSG -0.02 IEF -0.59 IYR 0.74 right, they all move together due to...
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    Opinion of this long term investment strategy

    you're better of diversifying across 15 countries than simply buying the S&P, but a cursory glance at 2001/2002 will show that even being leveraged 5:1 will mean a certain death. if you want non-correlated assets, you're better of adding bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate to the mix.
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    Goldman Says "Diversify By Naked Shorting Volatility"!!

    exactly, keep that mindset.
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    Goldman Says "Diversify By Naked Shorting Volatility"!!

    actually no, the more participants the less profit you'll make (selling vol)
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    Goldman Says "Diversify By Naked Shorting Volatility"!!

    Sh!t, a secret never stays a secret very long. Been doing that for a while now. Anyone can post their full report?
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    How to Raise Capital?

    Hard to live off 5% on 50k indeed..
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    you need to trade a minimum of 77k and 10 lots to make a decent living

    Spoken like a true Long Term Capital Management visionair.
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    nor do banks. same as a carpenter can create 10 chairs with one hammer (and probably more), a bank can support a number of dollar of loans with one dollar of equity. they still need outside funds though to fund the loans (and have to pay for those funds).
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    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    Wow, a fundamental analyst wrote that entry for sure? That's definitely not the standard assertion form weak from EMH.
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    you and me (and some other ;)). just like the carpenters buys wood, make a chair and sells that a profit. a bank buys money (or rather borrows it), makes a loan and sells money (lending) at a profit.
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    That's only because bank liabilities are counted as money. All loans must be funded, so although they do create money (same as a carpenter can create new chairs) they can't create them out of thin air (just as the carpenter needs woods and nails). As an aside, why do you think european banks...
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    what kind of question is that? obviously it does, but that doesn't mean banks create money out of thin air. fractional reserves only relates to equity, not to money. once again... look at a bank balance sheet and see what happens when they increase lending.
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    look at a bank's balance sheet and you'll find out.
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    Carry Trade

    Ahum...
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    blah blah blah... bank don't generate $ out of thin air... think about it.. if you think it's all so easy... why do lots of banks go bankrupt and why do even big banks like UBS fail to make money this year?
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    abolish the Federal Reserve?

    dude, i'm a non-english speaking person, but can spot more than 3 errors in your first sentence where you accuse someone of having attended a trailer park community college ??
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    man vs machine

    I don't think I said that did I?
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