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Dealing with the documented history of trend following, one finds a broad spectrum of possibilities. Your focus, as noted in your post, is narrow. It is in the vein of long term investing only and not trading. Most marketing of trend following is in the long term niche. In this...

Retraces and Reversals Above we "cured" whipsaws. this was the "freakout" trading problem that does most beginners in. Seeing a DOJI as part of a prior bar was the clue. Not being able to use the N node was the solution. Retraces and reversals can be differentiated right at their...

Elswhere, a discussion involving how a trader grows is the topic. See: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=59530&perpage=6&highlight=hershey&pagenumber=10 There a cycle 1 circumstance came up. Whipsaw and antiwhipsaw. In yet another thread there is a contention...

1992 was 18 years ago. At that time chips were considered planar; the layering limitations were more severe at that time. One of the chip equipment making corps was a Hughes outfit. They created a layering machine that could treat a chip as a potato chip like surface and, thus, many more...

They're thinking......... LOL.....

Do I have this straight: you're talking about a book published in 1992? In the first place, no one does "predictions" in trading. All trading is done in the Present based on Present status of the market(s). There is absolutely no requirement to do "exact predictions". You need to get...

As may have been implied, no one here has actually made it to first. Three balls in the count does not get you to first. Also, lets consider the strikes that have been thrown here. There is a typo in the code stuff. Call that a balk and let it go at that. Here are some points that...

Read acrurary (sp?). His very cool realizations were on top of determining to end his prior endeavors. In construction it is common to have contractors fail to follow the architectural plans that had gone through the permitting process. Inspectors red flag their work. It is torn out and...

A lot of things are discovered when you examine the limitations of application of capital. I would suggest that there are two themes: 1. Having good control meaning "knowing that you know". You orientate to "good enough" as you have explained. Probably most people do. I don't. To have...

Often the viewpoints of contributors have as a context their experience directly or vicariously. The Bayesian or "frequentist" orientation is most common here since most expereriences are saddled with contexts of previous choices. Induction has prevailed in this thread. Two of my Peace...

Your post is interesting. In trading, the spectrum of successful methods is quite broad. The spectrum would use criteria for positioning the approaches along the spectrum. For me, I have observed that fifth graders on up can trade successfully. There may be some common characterisitcs...

This thread and the associated attachments are a very good read for anyone. It covers about five years and includes "Popular Science" to some math considerations. In retrospect, I feel very lucky. And I've aways enjoyed the criticism and shots people have taken at the content of my posts...

For a further opportunity for anyone to examine their belief system see: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3010251#post3010251

Nutshell pic attached.

Thanks for the Q. I've been out of touch. I caught a lift back from China on one of the limo transports. S. Korea was fun too. This is a 50 contract level question. By cycle 5 you DO have the pattern down cold. See the nutshell pic on cycles 6 thru 10. By assembling the back up (by...

Under NFA you have to meet regulation requirements. See section 206. The way regulation works is that your IB is responsible for periodically determining your professional/amateur status. There is a key personal factor that you need to consider as well. Reporting is that factor...

Experiencing success is measured by what, how and why a person used given tools to become filthy rich. Wiliam J O'Neil represents the fast track to riches. Review his institutional package that originally rented for 44K a year when it came out of beta. His approach is totally canned. I...

There are many models. Do not go to financial engineering, however. Behavioral finance is now getting "lessons" on the "permenance" of misbehavior. Some bad assumptions were made on non corrolation to set "control for relative measures; they are failing for the foreseeable future...

Go for tide. The tide came in and, now, is going out through the end of the present Depression.