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  1. bone

    Tesla : BEAR in my opinion, what is the bullish case?

    My brother shorted TSLA four weeks ago at $220. I suggested that he might place his stop at $260 and cover half at $180 and the balance at $130. In other words, risk $40 to make $70. Purely based on technicals. I hinted at him to consider selling some SPY puts or maybe buy calls ( about half...
  2. bone

    "Scaling out" is inferior behavior

    CounterReminder: it is completely unrealistic and dare I say a bit chippy on your part to start a thread with such a provocative title as " Scaling Out is Inferior Behavior" and NOT invite perfectly germane, relevant, and intelligent conversation about where to enter and exit trades, system...
  3. bone

    But what about copper ?

    Definitely my 401K and some commercial OTC energy hedges. In terms of how I trade now and what I teach clients I've had several Eurodollar spreads that lasted several months ( no rolls ) in duration and an ES vs NQ spread that I rolled twice before finally hitting my profit target. The GE...
  4. bone

    But what about copper ?

    That was NOT a hedge by definition or intent - it was pure malfeasance.
  5. bone

    Why are oil prices so low?

    Easy. Things are worth what people are willing to pay for them - which is always dictated by need versus availability. We are awash in crude oil. The proven reserves for North America in terms of hydrocarbons impacts all aspects of worldwide commerce and geopolitical power and the...
  6. bone

    "Scaling out" is inferior behavior

    Personally, I define the profit target and the stop-loss level at the time of trade entry. My methodology is to derive these points using on-the-run trading range and volatility averages. My sense is that most "traders" ( or at least ET posters ) appear to concentrate almost all their focus...
  7. bone

    "Scaling out" is inferior behavior

    If I may respectfully profer an edit to the OP: Taking profits at a single price point and scaling out of losers is inferior behavior.
  8. bone

    Why are oil prices so low?

    Supply > Demand
  9. bone

    Trading calculator for fixed percent risk position sizing

    My sense from reading many posts over the years here on ET is that the vast majority of "traders" ( or at least ET members ) commit 99% of their focus and energy into getting into a trade and mundane topics like position management and portfolio/account risk gets the customary cliche platitudes...
  10. bone

    But what about copper ?

    You are a big swinging dick and never let anyone tell you otherwise. Submit your CV to Glencore / one of the mysterious Swiss firms pronto IMHO.
  11. bone

    But what about copper ?

    I see the longer term positive historical correlators with Copper that make solid fundamental sense - currencies associated with mining countries, mining stocks, other industrial metals; falling by the wayside as of late. Using the LME Copper product suite and the Comex futures contract as a...
  12. bone

    Bloomberg: How $50 Oil Changes Almost Everything

    ( continued )
  13. bone

    Bloomberg: How $50 Oil Changes Almost Everything

    ( continued ) Iran Losses Iran is already missing tens of billions of dollars in oil revenue due to Western sanctions and years of economic mismanagement under former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. President Hassan Rouhani, elected on a pledge of prosperity to be achieved by ending Iran’s...
  14. bone

    Bloomberg: How $50 Oil Changes Almost Everything

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-07/oil-at-40-means-boon-for-some-no-ice-cream-for-others.html How $50 Oil Changes Almost Everything By Isaac Arnsdorf and Simon Kennedy Jan 7, 2015 6:30 AM CT The plummeting price of oil means no more trout ice cream. Coromoto, a parlor in Merida...
  15. bone

    SpreadProfessor Clients - Thanks !

    I've had several PM's and email inquiries about upcoming training slot rotation availability - I have room for two new clients at present. Please email me directly for further information.
  16. bone

    OIL: Sub-$30 put volume is quite high: Schork

    I would imagine that you'll see plenty of commercial users buying calendar strips at both those levels.
  17. bone

    NY Hedge Fund Manager Shot Dead By Son

    See... wealth brings families closer together. Like, within handgun range.
  18. bone

    Gulke: Farmers Should Buy Corn and Bean PUTS

    My thought process as a spreader is a bit different. It's not my forte to call outright directional bets because I'm always thinking relative value between products. I have not looked at the grain options premiums - and I would imagine that the vega is already jacked up. From a spec...
  19. bone

    Gulke: Farmers Should Buy Corn and Bean PUTS

    http://www.agweb.com/article/gulke-time-to-put-a-floor-under-your-grain-prices--alison-rice/ Gulke: Time to Put a Floor Under Your Grain Prices Jerry Gulke predicts swings of $1 for corn and $2 for soybeans in January, thanks to the USDA report. When it comes to the upcoming Jan. 12 USDA...
  20. bone

    OIL: Sub-$30 put volume is quite high: Schork

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/some-traders-are-betting-on-20-oil-2015-01-05 Some traders are betting on $20 oil Published: Jan 5, 2015 2:21 p.m. ET NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Here’s how bearish some traders are getting on oil these days. Even before Nymex WTI crude futures on Monday...
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