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  1. J

    Exact Science

    Your expression is priceless. Reading it backwards will be a treat for anyone who goes through the motions. Attached is a statement based on an exact science of markets. Go 61 trading days out on a calendar mark the date and reread this post and the attached Excel. Notice at that time...
  2. J

    Exact Science

    These are the major econometric Q's which will be answered before by planners and after by historians. Globally, it is a function of interdependence. All social sectors have their tipping points and they are arranged as dominos. The arrangement of foxes in chicken coops is universal at this...
  3. J

    Controlling your impulses

    If you are a myth counter, this OP post is a gold mine.
  4. J

    Exact Science

    For me, the time that has a lot of what provides the prsent deja vu is the scneario of '87. The boutique I coordinated with knew for certain the crash was coming so the effort to go to cash had to be completed. Here we have the multi year Depression scanrio. So what applied to '87 was a 4...
  5. J

    Price Action based Analysis

    The head and shoulders is an envelope of ranging price over time. thus, the head and shoulders is an intermediate term formation The 10 cases of adjacent bars are found within in H&S formations and they build the long or short patterns we use. Ahead and shouldrs is composed of the following...
  6. J

    Exact Science

    Anyone using 3 x 5 cards for the nodes of cycle 1 can copy the attachment and use the sections as paste on's to 3 x 5 cards.
  7. J

    Price Action based Analysis

    Choosing to go probabilistic or non probabilistic is everyone's choice. It is a major fork in the road. I looked at the glass on my desk and chose non probabilistic. For trading, I decided to not use induction. The Lo paper respesents to me (in my opinion) something that should not...
  8. J

    Why is the book "Trading in the Zone" recommended

    It only applies in the "Zone" Some people can't get there.
  9. J

    Legal question

    He just co-opped you and you didn't know it...... To the OP: The Feds are funny. they are oriented to their being correct and you being out of line. It takes quite a while to straighten them out. Even then, they are not gracious about it. In my experience, they are not incentivized...
  10. J

    Price Action based Analysis

    It is okay to read the probabilities. That era of making those determinations is long gone. Unfortunately the people paid to do the work, believed their results and a myth was created. It may continue to this day since no effort was made to "fix" what they busted. More than just those...
  11. J

    Discussion: The problems with trader training services are...

    Stops come up as a topic in any learning group. At the IBD Tucson MeetUp group we made it a topic, as well. On that Camtasia the topic dealt with a handout that covered 12 most often used stop systems. For each one there was a reference to the webb home page and the handout included the...
  12. J

    Discussion: The problems with trader training services are...

    Sounds fair enough to me. Either do some of your guesssing or simply ask me direct questions about the "cards I am holding". This is SOP for ma and always has been. For anyone to move forward in trading, anyone supporting his progress has to go where he is a help him move forward...
  13. J

    what software/service do you wish you had?

    Doing the deep homework to understand a data base's quality leads to getting the data base glitchs tweaked to remove the reason for the generation of mistakes. Three concerns arise when doing these tasks: 1. The readiness of the supplier to make improvements, 2, The talent pool of the...
  14. J

    Price Action based Analysis

    I probably should have spelled out the details of the hierachy for those who need such a support level. here is pair one: WAIT over ENTRY HOLD is above EXIT. Stacking them as pairs gives: HOLD over EXIT WAIT over ENTER To see the fifth item you lok for the partss...
  15. J

    Price Action based Analysis

    Very impressive post. Your rationale for leaving mechanical trading and going to discretionary trading has a strong basis of your difficulties regarding your specific mechanical approach. In terms of PA only, Separate PA derived indicators must be used for different market platform...
  16. J

    About Quantitative Equity Investing

    RE: interdaybill and mdl's concern Deco points out the dilemma of big money. Lone wolves have the best of all worlds: liquidity and very high volatility. By setting other criteria properly, a lone wolf can easliy do 100 turns @ 10% each per annum. It is very possible to do crossover...
  17. J

    what software/service do you wish you had?

    Having a global variable on a platform would be nice. If you look at the libraries of most platforms, there is no way a multilevel functionality is possible. There is no question that when learning it is a good idea to be able to do each tool manually. After a while though it would be...
  18. J

    Discussion: The problems with trader training services are...

    RN comments on the "deficiencies I encountered". He found them after he began his quest. When I look at the list, it looks like a list of items from a person looking for a way to make money off markets. My view is that anyone from fifth grade on up can learn how markets operate and use...
  19. J

    Exact Science

    Here is an annotated chart. There are occasional discussions about what is going on. In a Deprsssion it is very important to lnow what is what and how it is unfolding. To that end I recommend a binary vector view of market operation. By using paradigm and logic theory all noise and...
  20. J

    Exact Science

    I annotated you chart toshow the saucer as an intermediate term formation as part of gpoing from point 2 to point 3. Considering Depressions is not within the experience of most people. As usual their are several fractal levels involved. The complexity of economics and econometrics adds...
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