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its random... that head and shoulders can't predict how much they earned or loss ... thats the real kicker.. buying or selling anything at this point is an earnings play..

1 to 4 pay out.. cheap bet on a beat.. and a bet against it not moving at all.. <a target='_blank' title='ImageShack - Image And Video Hosting' href='http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/163/aaplearningsplaynovopex.png/'><img...

if you average up a little and say they beat by more then the implied move predicts... 710/740/780.. for 1.80... 180 dollar bet with a crazy good pay off.. you could even do it with the 590/560/530 for 2 bucks putting your total bet at 3.80... vol collapses.. even if your wrong you have some...

+SLD 1 AAPL OCT 19 '12 + (1) 630 + (1) 665 - (2) 645 Call Combo 4.05 USD SMART 15:06:45 2.20 null i'm out with good profit... still on average on all the bwb's i'm down across accounts..

-1 hahah

this 640/660/685 i sold right exaclty before the move up.. its trading at 6.60 now.. ironic that i sold the exact moment before it broke up..

<a target='_blank' title='ImageShack - Image And Video Hosting' href='http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/341/630645665oct20opex.png/'><img src='http://imageshack.us/a/img341/599/630645665oct20opex.png' border='0'/></a><br>Uploaded with <a target='_blank'...

same +1 i wonder how they price them to

and even after that.. whats your point? don't you think he knows he could lose? i'm confused at your constant vague opposite take on things.. i need substance not a negative pessmistic contrarian.. you won't stay liquid very long with a calling top/short mentality with apple..

interesting to me.. it was like i had the timing perfectly.. i exited at 2.60 exactly right before the move... that 640/660/685 worked out great if i would have just held one more day... coulda woulda shoulda.. i don't feel bad about it.. shit happens..

Tech stocks and high flyers are a dime a dozen... there is no sure thing.... apple will mess things up sooner or later... I am not a perma long apple... I just bet that this exact moment isn't the end of a the move up... I do this in a very limited risk way with only higher speculative...

Green mountain is screwed to... saw the starbux machine today..

you could say that about any stock that ends up above six dollars about it going to 4 dollars.. or 40 or 60... its just a stock.. four letters.. alot of opinions and alot of money on both sides of that opinion.. calling the end of the iphone era is a huge feat.. i'm not a aapl fanatic.. i don't...

buying the volatility before earnings.. and scalping the price action.. price action volatility doesn't have to be very high to cover the carry difference between entrance and exit before earnings.. you could make it just on the vol increase.. but thats good you have to tides going your way...

I'd love to be able to remember what everyone is referring to instead of going back through the thread to figure it out..

i never claimed to be original... i've got some more original stuff i can show you though ;) haha.. how are you putting the math together to get to vixy is trading at a premium to dec.. ... how are you mathing that up? your still speculating that the term structure won't change in whatever...

680/700/730 and the 640/660/685 i'm out of .. total cost 6.02 out at 2.60....sold for a 3.42 cent loss.. still in the 630/645/665 in other account... which looks good here.. realize.. i only talking 1 of each of these.. this isn't ship it trading.. hah

in another accout i have a 630/645/665 paid 2.82 trading at like 4.00

+SLD 1 AAPL OCT 19 '12 + (1) 640 + (1) 685 - (2) 660 Call Combo 2.60 USD SMART 15:08:57 2.17 null so this means.. i sold to cut my losses.. right now theta is gonna kill me .. i had to broken wings in this account.. i had 680/700/730 and the 640/660/685 my total cost on the two flys was...

aapl right now is like a ball rolling on the floor slowing down right before the event...