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  1. bone

    Donald

    The next thing you’re likely to skew is that since HRC won the popular vote Gallup got the General Election right all along. Tell that to Nate Silver and the gazillion other pollsters. It’s just data.
  2. bone

    How will you react when Trump/GOP scraps the investigation?

    Indeed - Let’s talk about “SCRAPPING INVESTIGATIONS”. Much, much bigger than the Donald buying off your lowborn PornHub and Playboy whores. Much, much bigger than the Russians publishing John Podesta’s hilarious Email Inbox. Obama took hundreds of millions of dollars from Wall Street and the...
  3. bone

    Donald

    Gallup doesn’t have a very good record with anything Trump and polling. Horrible in fact. I doubt that their methodology has changed since November of 2016.
  4. bone

    So Much MAGA!! Trade Deal with Mexico - Stocks SMASH Records - LIBS cry

    1. Obama’s solution was “Quantitative Easing” protracted over a period of several years. A “SHAM” jobless economic recovery where the government printed trillions of dollars in order to buy US Assets. Of course the bond and equity markets slowly recovered. UNCLE SAM WAS THE BEST BID. Any IB...
  5. bone

    So Much MAGA!! Trade Deal with Mexico - Stocks SMASH Records - LIBS cry

    I get what you are saying completely - but majority public perception credits Trump and not Obama. And no reasonable person would disagree that there have been many, many headlines and soundbites from practically every CEO in the S&P 500 lauding the new Trump Administration corporate tax...
  6. bone

    We went from Russian collusion to how Trump Org accounted for a $130,000 payment

    Apparently Lanny Davis walked back the lion's share of Cohen's media attributions in Saturday's WP. Including Cohen being able to prove or attest to Trump's prior knowledge of any Russia meetings among his campaign staff.
  7. bone

    The Media Keep Falling Into the Trump Trap

    Apparently Lanny Davis walked back the lion's share of Cohen's media attributions in Saturday's WP. Including Cohen being able to prove or attest to Trump's prior knowledge of any Russia meetings among his campaign staff.
  8. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    Apparently Lanny Davis walked back the lion's share of Cohen's media attributions in Saturday's WP. Including Cohen being able to prove or attest to Trump's prior knowledge of any Russia meetings among his campaign staff.
  9. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    Pull up a DOJ indictment link where TRUMP is directly named as a Defendant on US Government letterhead. You can’t. I could give two shits about The New Republic or The Daily Beast or The Nation or any other rag for that matter.
  10. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    This excerpt perfectly explains why HRC lost the election - nearly all of her campaign stops were in deep blue States and Cities where she already held a sizeable polling lead. And of course she never even visited Wisconsin. No clear thinking person would say that HRC ran a good campaign. She...
  11. bone

    We went from Russian collusion to how Trump Org accounted for a $130,000 payment

    I’m not bothered that Trump tried to pay off Stormy Daniels. I’d try to hide it too quite frankly. She’s not exactly Margot Robbie. And given the exorbitant funds he contributed to his own campaign I don’t know what the accounting insies and outsies are quite frankly. I’m bothered that he...
  12. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    That’s a perfectly reasonable argument, but you have to extend the logic: what’s going to get him impeached in the SENATE or lose him the 2020 general election?
  13. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    I give the odds better than 50/50 that the House goes barely Democrat in 2018 purely on “impeach Trump” geographical voter turnout and historical midterm norms but the Senate remains Republican by virtue of so few seats being in play. Ryan, Gowdy, etc. [Chaffetz] are getting out of the House...
  14. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    Well, I'll admit what possibly you choose not to admit in public: that the 2016 general election presented a dilemma more than a choice to many voters. I personally saw both Trump and HRC as deeply flawed persons. Most Trump voters knew his was a deeply flawed personality before November 8...
  15. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    Your Trumpgasm is, well, premature. Lanny Davis is emphatically stating that the Steele Dossier’s allegations about Cohen are “100 percent” false. Davis claims that Cohen “never, never, ever” went to Prague, as the dossier alleges And BuzzFeed is refusing comment. “Thirteen references to...
  16. bone

    Looks like the hush payments came from the campaign donations

    US campaign finance laws have long needed serious, enforceable revision - but the politicos of all stripes have resisted. John Edwards spent close to a million dollars of campaign money to keep his pregnant mistress under wraps in the midst of his 2008 Presidential Campaign. He was indicted...
  17. bone

    Sole juror responsible for not holding Manafort guilty of all 18 charges

    Manafort faces 80 years in jail with the counts that did stand and were affirmed by ALL the jurors but somehow that’s not good enough ? Of course there was a big Trump supporter in the jury. And I’m sure there were big Hillary supporters in the jury. A jury is supposed to be a cross...
  18. bone

    So-called bond king Gross has been ‘wrong and wrong badly,’ his boss at Janus says

    Just to clarify - Gross made a spread bet on the differential convergence between US sovereign debt and German sovereign debt. And those two spaces have been highly uncorrelated for quite some time now.
  19. bone

    Manafort trial

    There's by no means a legal consensus about what constitutional remedies there are, if any, to a sitting President's ability to pardon. About the only remedy is political - impeachment. And Trump probably would get impeached for it. But the pardons would stay...
  20. bone

    Is watching Time and Sales useful at all?

    I do know that guys model it quite a bit, and that Bloomberg is supposed to be considered the best (cleanest) data. I've seen guys feed T&S from Bloomberg into MatLab. My guess is that the high speed algo types would be the category most interested. Just a guess.
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