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I agree. Fibs and EW only show anything of value after the fact. For example, it is not known which fib level is important until after it happens.

As mentioned in my first post, if anyone wants to check this out, use the java charts at www.prophet.net. For example, if you wanted to compare the cycles to the recent action in 2006, just use the charts from 1974, 1942, and 1910 and compare. Then you would have 4 series to look at and your...

I suppose there could also be 2 more waves between 4 and 5. My experience is that you can continue and look for smaller and smaller waves, but you need to stop somewhere and only look at your desired time frame. Yes, 1911 can be included, although for the period of june/july, there was no...

Your info is fine. But I am only looking at swings of 2 to 4 weeks, not into next year.

The attachment is charts of the DJ index. The top chart is a portion of 1975 and the lower is of 1943. Each are 32 years apart and the next 32 above 1975 is 2007. The markets follow a 32 year cycle. The turn points on the charts are numbered and right now the market is moving to the #5 high due...

I hope your right. I've got puts on A.

Here's the daily chart of Agilent. Looks like it may go down from here.

If someone makes $970,000.00 in one year trading options, whats the point of bothering with subcribers.

I bought puts on A last Friday. It shows an outside reversal day down on the daily.

www.prophet.net has historical daily data on their java charts. Open java charts, click the drop down box on the amount of data shown and click "all" and their entire data base on that stock will load. Then click for daily charts. The old established stocks have history going back to 1968. The...

I just look for channeling patterns and a 4 to 5 week cycle.

By the way, I am trading a real money account. No demo or paper trading.

I'm going to post my stock option trades here. I only take long option positions. Typical trade duration is 3 to 20 days. I bought A (Agilent) aug 35 puts at 2.02. Stop at 1.40. Yes, these were bought Friday but they closed at 1.91, so I hope I don't get flamed for posting on Sat.:(

You might want to include in your decision the safety of funds. Refco FX customers are out most of their funds. Refco futures customers accounts were simply switched to a different broker with no loss of funds.

The attachment is the results of my research on cyclical activity in the markets. This is for gbp/usd and can be used for eur/usd also. There are 11 turn points this week. Use this at your own risk. This is not necessarily always accurate and this should be taken into consideration when trading...

I think the 9 high is confirmed. Down move now underway to the 10 low due late April. Go short or buy puts. Please go to the begining of the thread if you do not know what is going on here.

Possible trade on CAT. Looking for a down move.

I trade options on individual stocks. I have a list of about 50 or so stocks to chose from. I look for common chart patterns on daily charts that tend to agree with the cycle turn points, and then trade accordingly. You want to put the probabilities in your favor, e.g. chart pattern + cycle turn...

This works in 32 year intervals. The solution I posted for 2006 is derived from the average turn points of the years 1974 (2006 minus 32), 1942 (1974 minus 32), and 1910 (1942 minus 32 years). The solution that works for 2006 will next work for the year 2038 (2006 plus 32). If there are an...

HPQ looks interesting. I bought puts today for a move down into late April.