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https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/1717229680934425045?s=20

With currencies it is often, not always and certainly not in lockstep, about interest rate differentials. 10 yr Gilt yield vs 10 yr Bond yield spread difference peaked July 11th, two days later GBPUSD did as well.

Agree, of all the possible causes hacking IMO would be low on the list of possibilities. In all my many, many years of trading there have been dozens of outages (a few a year though less and less over time), never once do I recall hacking being mentioned as a cause.

So when do you decide get back in long (i.e. tell a real V from a fake one), or do you just make calls not trades?

I've got 338.59 for 200 SMA. You must be referring to 200 XMA. And then there is WMA etc etc. Price is all that matters.

Or .... https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/jury-convicts-hedge-fund-manager-accused-of-rigging-foreign-exchange-market.376766/

This guy reportedly has the USB drive in a safe. Same, I would think, with some of his cash. Crack the safe open and ....... then crack the drive and you got ummm cash. Long after you already had cash in your hand when you emptied the safe. :confused: Disadvantage? Are dollar bills...

The FED in QT unravelling mode, Fed Gubmint issuing more and more debt, some overseas buyers curtailing their purchases somewhat, causes rates to rise and rise. Though the actual BPs (20 bps) jump is in line with the prior (23 bps) auction, they are actually on the lower scale of jumps this year.

Think V-shape is now pretzel-shape and won't be seen any time soon.

How will knowing the answer to this help you in your particular trading approach?

When V becomes ^ .... wanna gettaway? :)

Until it came back on line I ignored $VIX as a gauge to trade eMini:-

It is remarkable how many perfectly healthy Russians (well Generals, Journalists & Oligarchs that is) drop dead all of a sudden!!!!!!!!!!!!! Lukoil chairman dies suddenly, second in just over a year...

Wouldn't load for me. Anyway was that on Wired? I saw that one last night.

Yet another reason I'm doubting any kind of end of year rally, or at least not a typical very strong one - NDX 52wk NH's / NL's showing exactly the opposite of what is needed. MA(10) cyan is making lower swing highs and lows since the summer top:-

Bet it really upset you when Ukraine didn't play ball with the insurrectionist Pres? Aka bosom buddy of the head Nazi over in the Kremlin.

Doesn't take much to get you excited. HH by 65 pennies lol.

(Semafor) Brain-inspired chip boosts AI speed A chip inspired by the human brain is 20 times as fast as any existing one at running artificial-intelligence programs. IBM’s NorthPole unites processor and memory within one chip, in the same way that human neurons both compute and store data...

(Semafor) IEA: Rise of clean tech ‘unstoppable’ The global shift to clean energy is “unstoppable,” the International Energy Agency said, although the phaseout of fossil fuels needs to happen faster. The IEA’s annual World Energy Outlook report noted that the “phenomenal” rise of green...

Or ........... 3. get the freak short. :D