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  1. M

    Another PDT thread :)

    What if you go long 1000 shares and only sell 500 shares by end of day. The NEXT day you sell the rest. Does the partial sale count as 1 daytrade? Or, because you sold the rest of the position the next day, does it not count as a daytrade at all? I guess what I'm asking is if you sell or...
  2. M

    Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

    Thank you very much for your helpful reply. This thread (and its predecessor) are two of the best on this site!
  3. M

    Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

    I am going to be a bit selfish here and ask the group for their collective opinions on the following signals I received the past three days, and the results of the trades....should I have made these trades? If not, why? BTW, it was my belief that all the following trades met the requirements...
  4. M

    Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

    In addition to getting burned by the RTSX signal, I got stopped out hard on KNDL as well, which I had bought two days ago.... Took a short on JMDT based on various short signals that have been bandied about on this and the previous thread, and although it gave a nice profit today, I worry it...
  5. M

    Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

    Trying to understand a bit more here. When I run CMT, IIG and STV through the HER v.3.0.0, all three of these stocks currently are ranked. I thought stocks were removed from the FUL when they no longer have a rank. Could you take a moment to clear up my confusion? In any event, thank...
  6. M

    Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Equities Journal II

    Can any more detail be added to this process? Is this something I can do using one of the Wealth-Lab scripts? If the answer to my question resides elsewhere on this site, a link will suffice, or at the very least, relevant search terms...LOL
  7. M

    IB data...strange things

    I do use QT, but not with TWS (I use QT for stocks with Ameritrade, and IB with Ensign + my own homegrown software). Never seen anything like this before using IB with my own software. The only thing I can think of that may have caused this, is that I lost my data connection during the...
  8. M

    IB data...strange things

    OK, so I logged off and then logged back into IB, and everything is back to "normal" Very weird how this happened. I wonder what data I was getting? Negative volume prints every now and then, VERY granular data.....prints going off with regularity above the offer and below the listed bid on...
  9. M

    IB data...strange things

    I am getting negative volume tick data for the first time ever using IB TWS as my ES data source. Did I miss something? What's with the negative data prints? Also, it seems a lot more granular today than usual.....
  10. M

    IB 1099 and futures commissions

    Great question. Still no clear answer, unfortunately (and another year goes by)..... Anyone?
  11. M

    MOT earnings

    Well then, if you feel this strongly, my only advice to you is to short as much as you can.....
  12. M

    MOT earnings

    There is more to this world than you or your friends.
  13. M

    MOT earnings

    I see them all around. I have one as well....just bought it in fact (about a month ago)
  14. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    The numbers I posted include commissions I would have been charged using IB as my broker.
  15. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    I totally agree. I don't think I ever tried to argue against this point. My broker is IB, but the data feed I use for charting and backtesting after 2002 is IQFeed, which most would say is quite complete in its delivery of unfiltered tick data. For data prior to 2003, I used data purchased...
  16. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    yes it does show a positive mathematical expectation. Probability * W/L - (1 - Prob) .64 * .65 - (1-.64)=.056 which is a positive expectation over 7000+ trades Pure chance? Here's the performance breakdown by contract: Contract P/L Winners Losers Total$Win Total$Loss @ESH4...
  17. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    Is it then next to impossible to come up with an effective real world system that takes advantage of high win % and low win/loss ratios? Typically, high winning percentages and low win/loss ratios are indicators of a system that holds for only a very short while, and a system that will be...
  18. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    Not to be confrontational, but how does it not work on paper? It has a positive mathematical expectation. It shows a decent profit over a five year test period over thousands of trades. How does it not work on paper? I understand why it probably won't work in the real world, but what about...
  19. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    I guess the ultimate question is how does anyone successfully trade an ultra short term method like mine that appears to work on paper? I can see being successful holding for bigger gains, as this would naturally incur less overall trades, less commissions, and a lesser chance that slippage...
  20. M

    ES method - How to duplicate backtest?

    Signals are generated at the end of 1 minute bars. I assumed that all orders were filled at the closing price of the 1 minute bar that generated the signal. The same for exits. I assumed all orders were filled at the closing price of the 1 minute bar that generated the exit signal.
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