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  1. Same Lazy Element

    Gambling on Weekly S&P500 options

    Two questions :) (a) Why would you expect anyone to early-X an option in event of a crash and forego the residual premium (I have seen that exactly once in my life in very specific circumstances)? (b) Why would you think that assignment is bad for you?
  2. Same Lazy Element

    Gambling on Weekly S&P500 options

    You right and I am wrong, I got it backwards. This said, American feature hardly ever matters (unless funding goes totally bezerk) so one can safely consider them all European options.
  3. Same Lazy Element

    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    It's a reasonable approach in some ways - the stock to index correlations are known to break down (e.g. on company-specific news). Just as a side note, this calculator also has market-maker and broker-dealer margin (CPM is customer, RBH-BD is broker-dealer and RBH-MM is market maker in account...
  4. Same Lazy Element

    Gambling on Weekly S&P500 options

    How so? Weekly (Mon/Wed/Fri) and EoM options are American, expire into the futures instrument. It's only the quarterly options that are European and expire cash based on SQ.
  5. Same Lazy Element

    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    It's very rare that a market making book will have something as well defined as "a fly". You get hit or lifted on something (hopefully at a good price), you book it and skew your markets to cover the risk. Sometimes you get lucky and cover in an identical option, sometimes in something close by...
  6. Same Lazy Element

    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    This is not exactly right. Depending on how you structure it (the belly ATM or the belly OTM), flys can express somewhat different views. For example, I trade a fair bit of ratio flys (@taowave you know the name for those, right? :D) in the indices, but in my case i do them with bellies OTM...
  7. Same Lazy Element

    Book recommedations on Algo trading and backtesting

    That mythical trend-following skew that sometimes comes and sometimes does not...
  8. Same Lazy Element

    Book recommedations on Algo trading and backtesting

    If you really want to get specific, it's the difference between jumps vs ambient volatility. In essence, if you rescale your time-series by the forecast volatility and returns with the sample become perfectly normal, it was a change in volatility regime. Ambient volatility is usually fairly well...
  9. Same Lazy Element

    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    Dude, you're such an ignorant old fart - the right way is to YOLO everything on a single name/strike! It's like you don't know what options are for or something...
  10. Same Lazy Element

    Fully Automated Stocks Trading

    I am just saying that it's important to know whos lunch you are eating and who's eating some food off your plate. This does not mean that minimizing your execution costs is not important and that you should not invest a significant effort into it. If you really wanted to know, you can do some...
  11. Same Lazy Element

    Meet the anti-crypto crowd

    In fairness, these guys are treating crypto as a cheap option as opposed to "the next sure thing". They are not hodling nearly as much of their capital/NW in crypto as an average crypto enthusiast. Even the companies that decided to invest into crypto infrastructure are still very tentative...
  12. Same Lazy Element

    Meet the anti-crypto crowd

    Also, it worsens the climate change because of all the heat generated by friction!
  13. Same Lazy Element

    Robbin The 'Hood

    SEC Charges Robinhood Financial With Misleading Customers About Revenue Sources and Failing to Satisfy Duty of Best Execution https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2020-321 I'll just quote: “Robinhood provided misleading information to customers about the true costs of choosing to trade with...
  14. Same Lazy Element

    Futures are looking liquid

    NYC has powdered water all over the streets at the moment :D
  15. Same Lazy Element

    How do you guys think the TSLA inclusion will play out?

    Well, it's not as simple. Indeed, index adds/deletes are known in advance. However, many funds are mandated to only hold stocks that are part of the index and replicating ETFs are simply holding the actual index weights. So there is always some mechanical action around index rebalances and the...
  16. Same Lazy Element

    Fully Automated Stocks Trading

    It's all right, we are having a general discussion. My main point is that most of alpha for a retail trader comes from looking at capacity constrained opportunities, not from building execution infrastructure or finding some unusual alternative data sets. That's why I was so surprised that you...
  17. Same Lazy Element

    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    Apparently, you're right: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grizzly–polar_bear_hybrid I suspected but was not sure - glad I asked!
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    Destriero - Butterfly Trades

    Is there a God? What is the right way to eat oysters? Could polar bears and grizzlies have babies? PS. I'll think of more things I am not sure of...
  19. Same Lazy Element

    Scott generosity

    I think she was there before he started, they met while they where both working at DE Shaw.
  20. Same Lazy Element

    Fully Automated Stocks Trading

    That could be because either (a) you actually make money on execution (i.e. you have an edge, like the market makers do) or (b) you lose less money on execution (no edge, you just optimized your execution process to lose less). Which one do you think it is? PS. A more analytical approach would...
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