Recent content by trefoil

Yeah, but it has a tendency to crater with the market on really bad days. It's still an ETF of stocks, after all. Gold isn't nearly a perfect hedge either, nothing is, but it's closer.

Rock, taper, scissors, shoot: http://www.marketanthropology.com/2014/03/rock-taper-scissors-shoot.html The thing that moves the precious metals isn't fear, or geopolitics. It's interest rates vs inflation, as mediated via currency values.

Out of GDX today at 27.87. Now that gold's broken out, gotten into that and out of this. Bought GLD the other day at 131.72. Reserve the right to get into GDX again in the future, of course.

syswizard: excellent thread. Definitely a classic one here on ET.

Breakout today.

Actually had a decent time of it both today and Friday, as in not down nearly as much as the market, but as I decided to revamp the strategy how I did doesn't matter much or demonstrate anything anymore. The only thing that will be continuing when I start to post P/L again that happened as a...

I went back and looked at this year just to make sure I'm not seeing things. Front month was at a discount 10 days in a row in late Jan and early Feb. Also a couple days outside that timeframe. Median of front month to VIX according to my database since futs started trading is 3% over. Median...

If you'd told me the S&P would be up a half a percent today and I'd still end up down, I'd have looked at you like you had two heads. But that's what happened. Front of the VIX curve went down, back went up. Or, to make it simple: any day when VXX falls AND ZIV falls means that more than...

Anticip...... (Yellen tomorrow.) One of those stupid days when the S&P sits there and vol goes up 'cuz of everyone in a crouch over, in this case, Yellen (even though she's just going to repeat what she said to the House) and of course jobless claims.

Pretty much lost what I made yesterday. That trade that filled at EOD yesterday, which only filled that late because I set an aggressive limit on it, still cost me today anyway, just like I figured it would. Will continue to post daily this week, then weekly only after this. That trade was...

It's what happens within a sample population. That's true for all of your results. Max drawdown is useful but in no way should be taken as the actual maximum you will suffer. It will almost always be more, because no matter what you are always only taking a sample of the total population, even...

Youza! Nice...

Up almost exactly 700. Two near round number days in a row. Selloff at the end actually got me a nice fill I wasn't expecting. That always makes me suspicious about the next day.

Didn't get to posting Friday as I wound up having a very busy weekend. Down 400 almost exactly, net after commish that day. No screenshot as once the day is gone I don't know how to get the P/L for a given day on TD. Blah day all-in-all.

Forget it, found the EPA's own notice on this. Apparently they've been getting harassed by trolls sent to them from that idiotic News Max article: http://www.epa.gov/burnwise/ordinances.html You're back on ignore. Stupid doesn't begin to describe you.