sorry but the one thing you must learn is that the smart money knows every move - all successful traders trade with smart money - market exist because they prey on human nature (the Herd) - market moves up and the herd thinks buy! buy! buy! - market move down and the herd thinks sell! sell...
don't u know all the dummies bought stocks in 1999 - they caused the market to crash! - all the smarties saved their money and bought houses - they always land nice and softly...:)