Got it, thanks! Sounds like it's more of a holistic, constructing favourable risk-reward situations kind of process than a data-driven forecasting one. If not too much to ask, how much of what you do could be automated and how much is based on instinct/feel?
First of, thanks for doing this journal, as well as all the others under your various nicks that you have done over time. I have learned a ton from them.
I'm not sure I understand this answer however. Using corr between vol and price, skew and price or some such still requires you to forecast...
Would these be in single name or index vol? I presume the latter since the bid/ask in single names would probably make a high turnover strategy unprofitable?