Recent content by Russell Shuffle

  1. Russell Shuffle

    stock market seasonal behavior anyone can make a decent cheat sheet?

    You can also extract simple cyclical price action as an indicator if you want. sample code for this is at: https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1Dixb7J1jF56MBB4J_etYh69aFF7njsiQ?usp=sharing#scrollTo=kN2iVhgtCEh9 If you want to take a more robust/quant-ish approach, there is some research...
  2. Russell Shuffle

    New Dell rig with Xeon or i7?

    This isn't meant to sound shitty: It's been my experience that if someone asks if they need a Xeon, they usually don't need a Xeon. They are quite expensive to build and you have to make sure you can cost justify every thing you do in trading. My old T7500 died a couple of years ago as well, I...
  3. Russell Shuffle

    Optimal F better than Kelly in trading???

    modeling residual errors to estimate probability of true-positive outcomes. That's the last step in a pretty long pipe-line though, you've got to have a lot of other things right, before you get there.
  4. Russell Shuffle

    Fake gurus?

    There's actually some research out there that supports that type of trading (and I mean post doc stuff...). It has to do with the probabilities of hitting 1000 vs -4000. Some of it actually supports dd of 5x's vs expected outcome, and if you think about how many ppl fail at "you must make 2:1"...
  5. Russell Shuffle

    Optimal F better than Kelly in trading???

    Just echoing what ducatista said. Kelly is problematic in a lot of ways, as is, as he points out, the scaling scheme. Some of that boils down to "how" you determine the side of a trade. Is it trend, momentum, reversion etc. Those will have you taking a different approach to how and when you...
  6. Russell Shuffle

    Russell Shuffle: Nov. 22nd, 2020

    Think that's a wrap for me, appreciate those who took a peak at the shuffle the last couple of weeks. ET is just a little too cynical/negative for me. People with well thought out ideas get bashed by the self-appointed know it all's and it's a bad look. Anyway, happy holiday's. Here's to a...
  7. Russell Shuffle

    I believe INTC is a buy at current levels

    Roger that. People with strong STEM backgrounds aren't welcome here. Enjoy your little clique then...
  8. Russell Shuffle

    Have you noticed the price of ammo lately?

    Everyone owns a gun. Peaceful town. Just saying. :)
  9. Russell Shuffle

    Have you noticed the price of ammo lately?

    LOL... I actually got a good chuckle out of that. Prob for some of us "guns" are just an "always been that way" thing. I grew up on a huge farm, close to a town where everyone had a rifle in the rear window of their pick-up truck. I don't think I've ever not owned a gun since I was 12.
  10. Russell Shuffle

    Cyberpunk 2077 -- best game ever?

    CD:MW was a blast, but you do not want to be a 53 year old trying to out twitch these kids. I got my k/d into positive territory, and promptly quit. I ain't built for that any more. For me (until just recently) The Division 2 was also a really good game. It's just gotten too grindy and my hands...
  11. Russell Shuffle

    Have you noticed the price of ammo lately?

    same situation here in AZ. I've been hanging on to the same batch of 9mm and 5.56 for ever... I'm dying to get to the range but don't want to blow through what I have as I'm not sure when/if I can restock. At least my guns are clean, really clean...
  12. Russell Shuffle

    I believe INTC is a buy at current levels

    I'm guessing next time he won't bother to post shit for all the negativity he's gotten over a pick that actually made money.
  13. Russell Shuffle

    I believe INTC is a buy at current levels

    Actually the only emotional take on this stock has been yours. You've made it clear over and over that you don't "like" intel. If you go back and read his first post he clearly felt the stock was a short term value buy. Nothing emotional about that. Why you so ornery all the time. You're like...
  14. Russell Shuffle

    I believe INTC is a buy at current levels

    Nice work!
  15. Russell Shuffle

    I believe INTC is a buy at current levels

    I still like this >50, but I do think we could put in a short term top here: Room to run over time Short term volatility/momentum may exhaust here (and it may not, just keep an eye out for stalling)
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