Recent content by nuclearmeltdown

Thanks for the explanation. What does HJ stand for? I tried to google HJ spread and found nothing on it.

Sorry to bump an old thread, but I think today is an excellent example of where I am utterly confused by pricing between months on NG. So today the front month January is currently down ~14.4 cents, which is a bigger move than normal, even more so considering it's already steadily been selling...

Interesting, I was originally trading SWN/CHK but I felt like I was exposing myself to higher risk by going through equities rather than buying the commodity itself. Like, if I felt that the price of NG would recover to somewhere around $3.50, I could be correct in my prediction but end up...

What's the Forest Gump route? Buy and hold? The simple route might not be a bad plan. I am doing well so far on trading NG, but I feel pretty lost sometimes like recently when the weather model flipped a 180 and I had no idea how to interpret the data... It does seem like I am in way over my...

Examining fundamentals has gotten me nowhere hahaha... I tried to collect EIA/NOAA data to chart storage, production, demand, temps, and price against time to see if I could get a general idea of where things should/could be headed and it doesn't seem to correlate in a reliable fashion.. I felt...

The thing is that the gap varies dramatically, so for example, let's say that Nov/Dec gap in contract was 10 cents about 3 months ago in Sept, and now it is sitting around 20 cents, what causes that price difference to shift rather than remain at a constant value? Presuming the 10 cents between...

Using the most recent example, the NG Nov '17 contract expired on the 27th of Oct @ ~$2.75 while the Dec '17 contract was @ ~$2.95 on Oct 27th. There was basically a $0.20 gap between the spot and the expected delivery price 4 weeks into the future, so that would imply that the spot/Dec...