Recent content by nonlinear5

  1. N

    Stop Orders and Limit Down

    So, your strategy is to sell at 2174 and to buy back at 2180? That's a guaranteed loss of 6 points. My suggestion is to stay away.
  2. N

    Basic strategy I don’t see why it wouldn’t work. Blissfully unaware.

    The expected value of this strategy (given that you have a finite amount of money in the trading account) is the complete loss of capital. To see why, try this at home with paper money. Keep doubling the bet size in a coin flip game.
  3. N

    There are at least 30,000 confirmed cases. Only 389 deaths. Only about a 1% mortality rate

    1. There is a debate going on about how to properly calculate the mortality rate while the epidemic/pandemic is still under way. One way is to divide number of deaths by the number of confirmed cases. The other way is to to divide number of deaths by the number of recovered cases. Based on the...
  4. N

    is covid 19 what you call the "black swan?"

    First, it's not "corvid 19", but "covid-19". With regards to the "black swan", I assume that you are referring to Nassim Taleb's theories. According to Nassim, a "black swan" event has these 3 attributes: 1. It is outside the realm of regular expectations 2. It carries an extreme impact 3. In...
  5. N

    Is trading harder under current volatility or normal market conditions?

    I run an automated trading system, and it's up 48% year to date. The price and order flow patterns that it trades under normal volatility are still there in super high volatility. What changed is that the risk is higher, and the reward is higher. This can be controlled by position size.
  6. N

    big problem Monday without floor traders on stock exchange??

    We don't need floor traders. They are just an anachronism.
  7. N

    Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero as part of wide-ranging emergency intervention

    WTF is her problem?
  8. N

    interesting times............

    End of the world sucks. That's because even if you are right, and are holding massive short positions, you would not be able to cash out.
  9. N

    IB Initial Margin on ES is 22,000

    Did it go up again? IB page shows ES intraday initial margin as $22,282.40 https://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/index.php?f=26662
  10. N

    Former Chief FX Trader at Citibank - Ask me a question

    What's the typical risk-adjusted return that the banks realize in FX trading? What's a typical Sharpe ratio?
  11. N

    Sticking to the Plan...NOT!!!

    Automate your plan, and automate order submission.
  12. N

    Trading couple for 3 years are harassed by UBS Bahamas, your help will bring victory

    What about 'em five donkeys that you had? And I believe you had half a dozen ponies, as well? Also wondering what happens if a donkey copulates with a pony? What kind of baby animal gets born?
  13. N

    October Performance

    Same here, I am up about 13% in October. Wild swings triggered more trades than usual (I run a fully automated trading system).
  14. N

    IBM to Acquire Red Hat for About $33 Billion

    I don't get it. RedHat annual income is $259M. IBM paid $34B. So, it would take $34B / $259M = 131 years 131 years for IBM to get even on that investment?
  15. N

    Trade quality

    Consider the following trade: bought 100 shares of stock XYZ at $100 per share sold 100 shares of stock XYZ at $120 per share Profit = 100 shares * ($120 - $100) = $2000 Was it a good trade or a bad trade? In my assessment, the answer to this question depends on what happened while the trade...
See more
Back
Top