Recent content by mechtrader41

  1. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Hi everybody, just looked at ET the first time since months, don`t want to stay lengthy, just a few lines... @Skippy (Who`s buying here...), the key are the marketinternals, the AdvancingVolume/DecliningVolume NYSE Ratio is ~ at 4.5, a very high number, everthing over ~ 3-3.5 i found to be a...
  2. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I did tested the DDF as filter for an openrangebreakoutsystem ~ 1 year ago, and it enhanced the results remarkable, but of course there were times it did not work too good but that`s with all things/strategies in trading.....i remember not using 60 min, but more ~75 -90 min. In my discrete...
  3. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I`m just curious...we see a breakout of weeklong congestion from a very coiled market, why do you expect this a false breakout? And extremly bullish marketinternals.... I `m long since wednesday in YM and monday in SPY calls cause this was a very clear bullish pattern, and I don`t expect this to...
  4. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Upvolume at NYSE ~ 4 times as large as Downvolume, take care with the shortside...
  5. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    DJ Utility average broke out to upside with large volume, it`s up to your interpretation what that means....
  6. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    from yesterday @ 15.13.... Oil and energysector leading the pack... Second up was DJ utility index... Investopia writes: "The utility average tends to decline when investors expect rising interest rates. Utilities tend to borrow a lot of money and, consequently, are more sensitive to changes...
  7. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    don`t try to trade with this...even if you are right with your sight it`s useless...I remember a ~ 70 year old statement from an economist: ~~"markets can be longer irrational than you can be solvent". yesterday the equities were lead by oilsector + ~2.5%, so equities can climb just cause oil...
  8. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Everything on line with the bigger picture, so far still everything green, trendstrength even lower, a negative monday is a good sign for further strength the rest of week in a bullmarket, there is more danger with a positive monday. Just a random marketnoise so far. Change sight not before...
  9. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Good luck in your trading, mondays are not too often a large trendday, so may be today is nothing exciting. I`m out, we have holiday here, barbeque and some exercises in the rocks (climbingstuff) with the guys from caveseekers.com. I have a resting order with calls...
  10. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Pure from Volatility it can fall like a stone too, but from the pattern i see, i would say, there was already a headfake for the shorts and we can see the 4 th(?) attempt to break to the upside. On Dacharts I found the ro4 pattern, means that the 4th attempt is mostly succesfull in breaking out...
  11. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    uuups, too fast, missed the chart...
  12. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    To look into this LBR rule with the low ADX on 120 min, i did a 120 chart with ADX and marked the areas with low ADX, cause nothing is perfect, this is sometimes more or less remarkable, but quite often after such a condition follows a larger move as you can see on the chart
  13. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    @ B1S2, a very low Trendstrength leads normally to the next larger move/breakout soon, but this defines only volatility not direction, I look on daily ranges too, friday was a relativ small range of 0.8 the average range/last 5 days, so a trendday is quite possible the next tradingday, or vice...
  14. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I have an order in for some 1350 SPY calls on monday, this Beauty is definitely in breakoutmodus and i doubt the direction is down, sideways for ~ 6 weeks, and this pattern is quite bullish in my eyes...Cause even more stops ahead from shortplayers i expect a 30 point upmove next week. Hope not...
  15. M

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Van Halen, so I would say you are more in the scalpingcorner and less in the trendtradingcorner ~ Scaling out makes only sense by riding out trendtrades looking for max. profits X multiples of stopsize and a serious need for smoothing the equitycurve of trendsystems. Only. If you don`t...
Back
Top