Not concerned about ECB increasing their QE? Being long EUR in a risk off environment isn't a terrible idea, but the fact they are easing might make it tough. Just curious why long EUR?
My only point is this wasn't a complete suprised that they would pull the floor. But you also can't say that a national bank was selling eur when they have a peg in the market.
My brother in law trades at a major firm in Chicago and I talked to him. Tons of small retail brokers got caught and...
Exactly what I was saying.. is this really a surprise??? SNB has been one of the biggest buyers of EUR to defend it and with QE around the corner they finally realized they couldn't afford it anymore.
Well, its a commodity currency so its not much of a surprise.. CAD is correlated on energy prices for their economy, so a fall in Oil isn't a good thing for CAD
You would have a better chance waiting for a fundamental change in a currency. Something like a rate hike/cut/QE ect.. BOJ is probably still the best option since it's not a set time of the announcement the algos can't grab it as quickly and you have a shot at getting a better price. Obviously...
Luckily for us you are just some joe blow that has a hard time comprending basic economic situations and the biggest decision you ever have to make is to use your right or left hand.
This entire thread has been me pointing out the fact that I was suprised the proximity to the floor is so close. I never stated to be long or short as there could be 100 pips of risk on either side. If they break the floor you could be in a 100 pip winner right away but if they intervene could...